{ "edition": "2026-11-06-evening", "snapshot_label": "November 6, 2026 \u00b7 8:20 p.m. EST", "last_verified": "2026-11-06", "verification_status": "Primary public API responses captured; calculation checked against returned bid/ask values.", "scope": "2028 Republican presidential nomination, national contracts", "methodology": { "metric": "Yes-contract bid/ask midpoint, multiplied by 100", "formula": "((yes_bid_dollars + yes_ask_dollars) / 2) \u00d7 100", "display_rounding": "One decimal place, decimal ROUND_HALF_UP", "interpretation": "Price-implied snapshot of nomination contracts. These are not opinion polls, Michigan primary forecasts or a list of declared candidates. Prices can change; the midpoint is not necessarily an executable trade.", "missing_price_policy": "If either bid or ask is missing, no midpoint is calculated; do not turn a missing bid into zero.", "sort_and_ties": "Sort by unrounded midpoint, descending. Equal midpoints share the same price; alphabetical ordering breaks layout ties without implying a different standing. No tie crosses either top-six cutoff in this capture. Rounded displayed values can look tied while unrounded values differ.", "normalization": "No normalization to total 100%; no averaging between platforms.", "volume_policy": "Kalshi volumes are contracts; Polymarket volumes are USD. Do not sum or present them as comparable units." }, "platforms": [ { "id": "kalshi", "name": "Kalshi", "event_title": "2028 Republican presidential nominee", "event_id": "KXPRESNOMR-28", "event_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpresnomr/republican-primary-winner/kxpresnomr-28", "api_url": "https://external-api.kalshi.com/trade-api/v2/events/KXPRESNOMR-28?with_nested_markets=true", "captured_at_utc": "2026-11-07T01:20:37.353452+00:00", "captured_at_eastern": "2026-11-06T20:20:37.353452-05:00", "http_response_date": "Sat, 07 Nov 2026 01:20:37 GMT", "source_event_metadata_updated_at": null, "source_timestamp_note": "The API update fields refer to market/event metadata and are not asserted to be timestamps of the individual bid or ask. The capture time identifies this frozen snapshot.", "raw_capture_file": "kalshi-event.json", "raw_sha256": "c7880c580f37428ee9c647ed4d52a7bccf15ca1c99a2c2920c612946152b7f04", "eligible_outcome_count": 50, "outcomes": [ { "person_id": "jd-vance", "name": "J.D. Vance", "market_id": "KXPRESNOMR-28-JDV", "question": "Will J.D. Vance be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?", "source_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpresnomr/republican-primary-winner/kxpresnomr-28", "active": true, "status": "active", "yes_bid_dollars": 0.33, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.34, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.34, "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-02T00:26:17.902686Z", "volume_contracts": 5404062.25, "volume_24h_contracts": 86222.38, "open_interest_contracts": 2345512.07, "rules_primary": "If J.D. Vance wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.", "early_close_condition": "This market will close after the Republican party nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.335, "midpoint_percent": 33.5, "midpoint_percent_exact": "33.5000", "display_percent": "33.5%", "spread_cents": 1.0, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "marco-rubio", "name": "Marco Rubio", "market_id": "KXPRESNOMR-28-MR", "question": "Will Marco Rubio be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?", "source_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpresnomr/republican-primary-winner/kxpresnomr-28", "active": true, "status": "active", "yes_bid_dollars": 0.2, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.21, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.2, "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-02T00:26:17.902686Z", "volume_contracts": 6550812.52, "volume_24h_contracts": 191591.37, "open_interest_contracts": 3105935.47, "rules_primary": "If Marco Rubio wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.", "early_close_condition": "This market will close after the Republican party nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.205, "midpoint_percent": 20.5, "midpoint_percent_exact": "20.5000", "display_percent": "20.5%", "spread_cents": 1.0, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "ron-desantis", "name": "Ron DeSantis", "market_id": "KXPRESNOMR-28-RDS", "question": "Will Ron DeSantis be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?", "source_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpresnomr/republican-primary-winner/kxpresnomr-28", "active": true, "status": "active", "yes_bid_dollars": 0.17, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.18, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.18, "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-02T00:26:17.902686Z", "volume_contracts": 4510627.81, "volume_24h_contracts": 127414.48, "open_interest_contracts": 2452889.65, "rules_primary": "If Ron DeSantis wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.", "early_close_condition": "This market will close after the Republican party nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.175, "midpoint_percent": 17.5, "midpoint_percent_exact": "17.5000", "display_percent": "17.5%", "spread_cents": 1.0, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "john-mcentee", "name": "John McEntee", "market_id": "KXPRESNOMR-28-JMCE", "question": "Will John McEntee be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?", "source_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpresnomr/republican-primary-winner/kxpresnomr-28", "active": true, "status": "active", "yes_bid_dollars": 0.071, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.079, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.08, "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-05T21:01:00.176541Z", "volume_contracts": 522078.07, "volume_24h_contracts": 520301.41, "open_interest_contracts": 406216.45, "rules_primary": "If John McEntee wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.", "early_close_condition": "This market will close after the Republican party nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.075, "midpoint_percent": 7.5, "midpoint_percent_exact": "7.5000", "display_percent": "7.5%", "spread_cents": 0.8, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "tucker-carlson", "name": "Tucker Carlson", "market_id": "KXPRESNOMR-28-TCAR", "question": "Will Tucker Carlson be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?", "source_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpresnomr/republican-primary-winner/kxpresnomr-28", "active": true, "status": "active", "yes_bid_dollars": 0.036, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.037, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.037, "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-02T00:26:17.401723Z", "volume_contracts": 5315610.75, "volume_24h_contracts": 49470.4, "open_interest_contracts": 3096001.4, "rules_primary": "If Tucker Carlson wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.", "early_close_condition": "This market will close after the Republican party nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.0365, "midpoint_percent": 3.65, "midpoint_percent_exact": "3.6500", "display_percent": "3.7%", "spread_cents": 0.1, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "thomas-massie", "name": "Thomas Massie", "market_id": "KXPRESNOMR-28-TMAS", "question": "Will Thomas Massie be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?", "source_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpresnomr/republican-primary-winner/kxpresnomr-28", "active": true, "status": "active", "yes_bid_dollars": 0.026, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.027, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.027, "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-02T00:26:17.902686Z", "volume_contracts": 4356678.74, "volume_24h_contracts": 53513.12, "open_interest_contracts": 2470369.89, "rules_primary": "If Thomas Massie wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.", "early_close_condition": "This market will close after the Republican party nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.0265, "midpoint_percent": 2.65, "midpoint_percent_exact": "2.6500", "display_percent": "2.7%", "spread_cents": 0.1, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "brian-kemp", "name": "Brian Kemp", "market_id": "KXPRESNOMR-28-BK", "question": "Will Brian Kemp be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?", "source_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpresnomr/republican-primary-winner/kxpresnomr-28", "active": true, "status": "active", "yes_bid_dollars": 0.025, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.026, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.026, "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-02T00:26:17.902686Z", "volume_contracts": 2596190.86, "volume_24h_contracts": 85377.21, "open_interest_contracts": 1907004.89, "rules_primary": "If Brian Kemp wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.", "early_close_condition": "This market will close after the Republican party nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.0255, "midpoint_percent": 2.55, "midpoint_percent_exact": "2.5500", "display_percent": "2.6%", "spread_cents": 0.1, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "joe-kent", "name": "Joe Kent", "market_id": "KXPRESNOMR-28-JKENT", "question": "Will Joe Kent be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?", "source_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpresnomr/republican-primary-winner/kxpresnomr-28", "active": true, "status": "active", "yes_bid_dollars": 0.025, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.026, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.026, "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-04T05:16:10.24455Z", "volume_contracts": 193962.07, "volume_24h_contracts": 27213.52, "open_interest_contracts": 192146.19, "rules_primary": "If Joe Kent wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.", "early_close_condition": "This market will close after the Republican party nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.0255, "midpoint_percent": 2.55, "midpoint_percent_exact": "2.5500", "display_percent": "2.6%", "spread_cents": 0.1, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "glenn-youngkin", "name": "Glenn Youngkin", "market_id": "KXPRESNOMR-28-GY", "question": "Will Glenn Youngkin be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?", "source_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpresnomr/republican-primary-winner/kxpresnomr-28", "active": true, "status": "active", "yes_bid_dollars": 0.024, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.025, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.025, "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-02T00:26:17.902686Z", "volume_contracts": 1694790.08, "volume_24h_contracts": 51869.48, "open_interest_contracts": 1440795.31, "rules_primary": "If Glenn Youngkin wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.", "early_close_condition": "This market will close after the Republican party nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.0245, "midpoint_percent": 2.45, "midpoint_percent_exact": "2.4500", "display_percent": "2.5%", "spread_cents": 0.1, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "ted-cruz", "name": "Ted Cruz", "market_id": "KXPRESNOMR-28-TC", "question": "Will Ted Cruz be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?", "source_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpresnomr/republican-primary-winner/kxpresnomr-28", "active": true, "status": "active", "yes_bid_dollars": 0.022, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.023, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.022, "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-02T00:26:17.902686Z", "volume_contracts": 3269433.62, "volume_24h_contracts": 374577.37, "open_interest_contracts": 1986453.35, "rules_primary": "If Ted Cruz wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.", "early_close_condition": "This market will close after the Republican party nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.0225, "midpoint_percent": 2.25, "midpoint_percent_exact": "2.2500", "display_percent": "2.3%", "spread_cents": 0.1, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "donald-trump", "name": "Donald J. Trump", "market_id": "KXPRESNOMR-28-DJT", "question": "Will Donald J. Trump be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?", "source_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpresnomr/republican-primary-winner/kxpresnomr-28", "active": true, "status": "active", "yes_bid_dollars": 0.014, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.015, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.015, "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-02T00:26:17.902686Z", "volume_contracts": 4977047.58, "volume_24h_contracts": 16014.32, "open_interest_contracts": 3014263.56, "rules_primary": "If Donald J. Trump wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.", "early_close_condition": "This market will close after the Republican party nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.0145, "midpoint_percent": 1.45, "midpoint_percent_exact": "1.4500", "display_percent": "1.5%", "spread_cents": 0.1, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "nikki-haley", "name": "Nikki Haley", "market_id": "KXPRESNOMR-28-NH", "question": "Will Nikki Haley be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?", "source_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpresnomr/republican-primary-winner/kxpresnomr-28", "active": true, "status": "active", "yes_bid_dollars": 0.013, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.014, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.013, "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-02T00:26:17.902686Z", "volume_contracts": 3068677.04, "volume_24h_contracts": 43087.19, "open_interest_contracts": 1947655.36, "rules_primary": "If Nikki Haley wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.", "early_close_condition": "This market will close after the Republican party nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.0135, "midpoint_percent": 1.35, "midpoint_percent_exact": "1.3500", "display_percent": "1.4%", "spread_cents": 0.1, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "marjorie-taylor-greene", "name": "Marjorie Taylor Greene", "market_id": "KXPRESNOMR-28-MTG", "question": "Will Marjorie Taylor Greene be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?", "source_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpresnomr/republican-primary-winner/kxpresnomr-28", "active": true, "status": "active", "yes_bid_dollars": 0.011, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.012, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.012, "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-02T00:26:17.401723Z", "volume_contracts": 3727982.38, "volume_24h_contracts": 26908.52, "open_interest_contracts": 2128594.94, "rules_primary": "If Marjorie Taylor Greene wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.", "early_close_condition": "This market will close after the Republican party nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.0115, "midpoint_percent": 1.15, "midpoint_percent_exact": "1.1500", "display_percent": "1.2%", "spread_cents": 0.1, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "donald-trump-jr", "name": "Donald J. Trump Jr.", "market_id": "KXPRESNOMR-28-DJTJR", "question": "Will Donald J. Trump Jr. be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?", "source_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpresnomr/republican-primary-winner/kxpresnomr-28", "active": true, "status": "active", "yes_bid_dollars": 0.009, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.01, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.01, "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-02T00:26:17.902686Z", "volume_contracts": 3290399.24, "volume_24h_contracts": 46782.36, "open_interest_contracts": 2266152.08, "rules_primary": "If Donald J. Trump Jr. wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.", "early_close_condition": "This market will close after the Republican party nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.0095, "midpoint_percent": 0.95, "midpoint_percent_exact": "0.9500", "display_percent": "1.0%", "spread_cents": 0.1, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "ivanka-trump", "name": "Ivanka Trump", "market_id": "KXPRESNOMR-28-ITRU", "question": "Will Ivanka Trump be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?", "source_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpresnomr/republican-primary-winner/kxpresnomr-28", "active": true, "status": "active", "yes_bid_dollars": 0.008, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.009, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.009, "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-02T00:26:17.401723Z", "volume_contracts": 2485592.91, "volume_24h_contracts": 59006.38, "open_interest_contracts": 1780926.11, "rules_primary": "If Ivanka Trump wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.", "early_close_condition": "This market will close after the Republican party nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.0085, "midpoint_percent": 0.85, "midpoint_percent_exact": "0.8500", "display_percent": "0.9%", "spread_cents": 0.1, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "josh-hawley", "name": "Josh Hawley", "market_id": "KXPRESNOMR-28-JH", "question": "Will Josh Hawley be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?", "source_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpresnomr/republican-primary-winner/kxpresnomr-28", "active": true, "status": "active", "yes_bid_dollars": 0.008, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.009, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.008, "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-02T00:26:17.902686Z", "volume_contracts": 1779045.68, "volume_24h_contracts": 23264.6, "open_interest_contracts": 1436142.45, "rules_primary": "If Josh Hawley wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.", "early_close_condition": "This market will close after the Republican party nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.0085, "midpoint_percent": 0.85, "midpoint_percent_exact": "0.8500", "display_percent": "0.9%", "spread_cents": 0.1, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "byron-donalds", "name": "Byron Donalds", "market_id": "KXPRESNOMR-28-BD", "question": "Will Byron Donalds be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?", "source_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpresnomr/republican-primary-winner/kxpresnomr-28", "active": true, "status": "active", "yes_bid_dollars": 0.006, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.008, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.008, "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-02T00:26:17.902686Z", "volume_contracts": 2047615.35, "volume_24h_contracts": 130496.1, "open_interest_contracts": 1490580.18, "rules_primary": "If Byron Donalds wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.", "early_close_condition": "This market will close after the Republican party nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.007, "midpoint_percent": 0.7, "midpoint_percent_exact": "0.7000", "display_percent": "0.7%", "spread_cents": 0.2, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "rand-paul", "name": "Rand Paul", "market_id": "KXPRESNOMR-28-RPAU", "question": "Will Rand Paul be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?", "source_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpresnomr/republican-primary-winner/kxpresnomr-28", "active": true, "status": "active", "yes_bid_dollars": 0.006, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.007, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.007, "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-02T00:26:17.401723Z", "volume_contracts": 1599565.1, "volume_24h_contracts": 28808.57, "open_interest_contracts": 1321233.27, "rules_primary": "If Rand Paul wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.", "early_close_condition": "This market will close after the Republican party nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.0065, "midpoint_percent": 0.65, "midpoint_percent_exact": "0.6500", "display_percent": "0.7%", "spread_cents": 0.1, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "sarah-huckabee-sanders", "name": "Sarah Huckabee Sanders", "market_id": "KXPRESNOMR-28-SHS", "question": "Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?", "source_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpresnomr/republican-primary-winner/kxpresnomr-28", "active": true, "status": "active", "yes_bid_dollars": 0.005, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.006, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.006, "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-02T00:26:17.902686Z", "volume_contracts": 1435390.05, "volume_24h_contracts": 39414.21, "open_interest_contracts": 1233933.08, "rules_primary": "If Sarah Huckabee Sanders wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.", "early_close_condition": "This market will close after the Republican party nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.0055, "midpoint_percent": 0.55, "midpoint_percent_exact": "0.5500", "display_percent": "0.6%", "spread_cents": 0.1, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "tom-cotton", "name": "Tom Cotton", "market_id": "KXPRESNOMR-28-TCOT", "question": "Will Tom Cotton be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?", "source_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpresnomr/republican-primary-winner/kxpresnomr-28", "active": true, "status": "active", "yes_bid_dollars": 0.005, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.006, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.006, "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-02T00:26:17.401723Z", "volume_contracts": 918766.84, "volume_24h_contracts": 16914.17, "open_interest_contracts": 855408.83, "rules_primary": "If Tom Cotton wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.", "early_close_condition": "This market will close after the Republican party nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.0055, "midpoint_percent": 0.55, "midpoint_percent_exact": "0.5500", "display_percent": "0.6%", "spread_cents": 0.1, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "katie-britt", "name": "Katie Britt", "market_id": "KXPRESNOMR-28-KB", "question": "Will Katie Britt be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?", "source_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpresnomr/republican-primary-winner/kxpresnomr-28", "active": true, "status": "active", "yes_bid_dollars": 0.004, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.005, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.005, "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-02T00:26:17.902686Z", "volume_contracts": 1324984.05, "volume_24h_contracts": 29865.11, "open_interest_contracts": 946614.63, "rules_primary": "If Katie Britt wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.", "early_close_condition": "This market will close after the Republican party nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.0045, "midpoint_percent": 0.45, "midpoint_percent_exact": "0.4500", "display_percent": "0.5%", "spread_cents": 0.1, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "john-kennedy", "name": "John Kennedy", "market_id": "KXPRESNOMR-28-JKEN", "question": "Will John Kennedy be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?", "source_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpresnomr/republican-primary-winner/kxpresnomr-28", "active": true, "status": "active", "yes_bid_dollars": 0.003, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.004, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.004, "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-02T00:26:17.401723Z", "volume_contracts": 366780.09, "volume_24h_contracts": 18967.82, "open_interest_contracts": 356705.34, "rules_primary": "If John Kennedy wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.", "early_close_condition": "This market will close after the Republican party nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.0035, "midpoint_percent": 0.35, "midpoint_percent_exact": "0.3500", "display_percent": "0.4%", "spread_cents": 0.1, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "pete-hegseth", "name": "Pete Hegseth", "market_id": "KXPRESNOMR-28-PHEG", "question": "Will Pete Hegseth be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?", "source_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpresnomr/republican-primary-winner/kxpresnomr-28", "active": true, "status": "active", "yes_bid_dollars": 0.003, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.004, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.004, "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-02T00:26:17.401723Z", "volume_contracts": 2219340.87, "volume_24h_contracts": 24244.21, "open_interest_contracts": 1278683.1, "rules_primary": "If Pete Hegseth wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.", "early_close_condition": "This market will close after the Republican party nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.0035, "midpoint_percent": 0.35, "midpoint_percent_exact": "0.3500", "display_percent": "0.4%", "spread_cents": 0.1, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "robert-f-kennedy-jr", "name": "Robert F. Kennedy Jr.", "market_id": "KXPRESNOMR-28-RFK", "question": "Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?", "source_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpresnomr/republican-primary-winner/kxpresnomr-28", "active": true, "status": "active", "yes_bid_dollars": 0.003, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.004, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.003, "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-02T00:26:17.902686Z", "volume_contracts": 1506150.86, "volume_24h_contracts": 17167.62, "open_interest_contracts": 1136498.36, "rules_primary": "If Robert F. Kennedy Jr. wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.", "early_close_condition": "This market will close after the Republican party nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.0035, "midpoint_percent": 0.35, "midpoint_percent_exact": "0.3500", "display_percent": "0.4%", "spread_cents": 0.1, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "spencer-pratt", "name": "Spencer Pratt", "market_id": "KXPRESNOMR-28-SPRA", "question": "Will Spencer Pratt be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?", "source_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpresnomr/republican-primary-winner/kxpresnomr-28", "active": true, "status": "active", "yes_bid_dollars": 0.002, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.004, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.004, "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-02T00:26:17.401723Z", "volume_contracts": 705119.36, "volume_24h_contracts": 30436.52, "open_interest_contracts": 700478.7, "rules_primary": "If Spencer Pratt wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.", "early_close_condition": "This market will close after the Republican party nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.003, "midpoint_percent": 0.3, "midpoint_percent_exact": "0.3000", "display_percent": "0.3%", "spread_cents": 0.2, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "tulsi-gabbard", "name": "Tulsi Gabbard", "market_id": "KXPRESNOMR-28-TG", "question": "Will Tulsi Gabbard be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?", "source_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpresnomr/republican-primary-winner/kxpresnomr-28", "active": true, "status": "active", "yes_bid_dollars": 0.002, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.004, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.004, "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-02T00:26:17.902686Z", "volume_contracts": 1718906.08, "volume_24h_contracts": 31191.39, "open_interest_contracts": 1296987.85, "rules_primary": "If Tulsi Gabbard wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.", "early_close_condition": "This market will close after the Republican party nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.003, "midpoint_percent": 0.3, "midpoint_percent_exact": "0.3000", "display_percent": "0.3%", "spread_cents": 0.2, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "chris-christie", "name": "Chris Christie", "market_id": "KXPRESNOMR-28-CCHR", "question": "Will Chris Christie be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?", "source_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpresnomr/republican-primary-winner/kxpresnomr-28", "active": true, "status": "active", "yes_bid_dollars": 0.002, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.003, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.003, "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-02T00:26:17.401723Z", "volume_contracts": 230120.89, "volume_24h_contracts": 70912.07, "open_interest_contracts": 229336.2, "rules_primary": "If Chris Christie wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.", "early_close_condition": "This market will close after the Republican party nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.0025, "midpoint_percent": 0.25, "midpoint_percent_exact": "0.2500", "display_percent": "0.3%", "spread_cents": 0.1, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "larry-hogan", "name": "Larry Hogan", "market_id": "KXPRESNOMR-28-LHOG", "question": "Will Larry Hogan be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?", "source_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpresnomr/republican-primary-winner/kxpresnomr-28", "active": true, "status": "active", "yes_bid_dollars": 0.001, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.004, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.004, "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-05T21:01:16.176583Z", "volume_contracts": 13545.66, "volume_24h_contracts": 13545.66, "open_interest_contracts": 13397.66, "rules_primary": "If Larry Hogan wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.", "early_close_condition": "This market will close after the Republican party nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.0025, "midpoint_percent": 0.25, "midpoint_percent_exact": "0.2500", "display_percent": "0.3%", "spread_cents": 0.3, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "steve-bannon", "name": "Steve Bannon", "market_id": "KXPRESNOMR-28-STE", "question": "Will Steve Bannon be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?", "source_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpresnomr/republican-primary-winner/kxpresnomr-28", "active": true, "status": "active", "yes_bid_dollars": 0.002, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.003, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.004, "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-02T00:26:17.902686Z", "volume_contracts": 1043357.13, "volume_24h_contracts": 27171.55, "open_interest_contracts": 970747.19, "rules_primary": "If Steve Bannon wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.", "early_close_condition": "This market will close after the Republican party nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.0025, "midpoint_percent": 0.25, "midpoint_percent_exact": "0.2500", "display_percent": "0.3%", "spread_cents": 0.1, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "tim-scott", "name": "Tim Scott", "market_id": "KXPRESNOMR-28-TSCO", "question": "Will Tim Scott be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?", "source_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpresnomr/republican-primary-winner/kxpresnomr-28", "active": true, "status": "active", "yes_bid_dollars": 0.002, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.003, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.003, "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-02T00:26:17.401723Z", "volume_contracts": 256439.73, "volume_24h_contracts": 20094.15, "open_interest_contracts": 256431.32, "rules_primary": "If Tim Scott wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.", "early_close_condition": "This market will close after the Republican party nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.0025, "midpoint_percent": 0.25, "midpoint_percent_exact": "0.2500", "display_percent": "0.3%", "spread_cents": 0.1, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "chris-sununu", "name": "Chris Sununu", "market_id": "KXPRESNOMR-28-CSUN", "question": "Will Chris Sununu be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?", "source_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpresnomr/republican-primary-winner/kxpresnomr-28", "active": true, "status": "active", "yes_bid_dollars": 0.001, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.003, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.001, "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-02T00:26:17.401723Z", "volume_contracts": 274586.67, "volume_24h_contracts": 26286.95, "open_interest_contracts": 273586.67, "rules_primary": "If Chris Sununu wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.", "early_close_condition": "This market will close after the Republican party nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.002, "midpoint_percent": 0.2, "midpoint_percent_exact": "0.2000", "display_percent": "0.2%", "spread_cents": 0.2, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "mike-pence", "name": "Mike Pence", "market_id": "KXPRESNOMR-28-MPEN", "question": "Will Mike Pence be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?", "source_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpresnomr/republican-primary-winner/kxpresnomr-28", "active": true, "status": "active", "yes_bid_dollars": 0.001, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.003, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.003, "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-02T00:26:17.902686Z", "volume_contracts": 1455062.93, "volume_24h_contracts": 21297.0, "open_interest_contracts": 1261569.73, "rules_primary": "If Mike Pence wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.", "early_close_condition": "This market will close after the Republican party nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.002, "midpoint_percent": 0.2, "midpoint_percent_exact": "0.2000", "display_percent": "0.2%", "spread_cents": 0.2, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "candace-owens", "name": "Candace Owens", "market_id": "KXPRESNOMR-28-COWE", "question": "Will Candace Owens be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?", "source_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpresnomr/republican-primary-winner/kxpresnomr-28", "active": true, "status": "active", "yes_bid_dollars": 0.001, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.002, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.001, "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-02T00:26:17.401723Z", "volume_contracts": 231287.37, "volume_24h_contracts": 12812.25, "open_interest_contracts": 229961.68, "rules_primary": "If Candace Owens wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.", "early_close_condition": "This market will close after the Republican party nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.0015, "midpoint_percent": 0.15, "midpoint_percent_exact": "0.1500", "display_percent": "0.2%", "spread_cents": 0.1, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "doug-burgum", "name": "Doug Burgum", "market_id": "KXPRESNOMR-28-DBUR", "question": "Will Doug Burgum be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?", "source_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpresnomr/republican-primary-winner/kxpresnomr-28", "active": true, "status": "active", "yes_bid_dollars": 0.001, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.002, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.001, "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-02T00:26:17.401723Z", "volume_contracts": 60796.85, "volume_24h_contracts": 19122.75, "open_interest_contracts": 60796.85, "rules_primary": "If Doug Burgum wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.", "early_close_condition": "This market will close after the Republican party nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.0015, "midpoint_percent": 0.15, "midpoint_percent_exact": "0.1500", "display_percent": "0.2%", "spread_cents": 0.1, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "elise-stefanik", "name": "Elise Stefanik", "market_id": "KXPRESNOMR-28-ES", "question": "Will Elise Stefanik be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?", "source_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpresnomr/republican-primary-winner/kxpresnomr-28", "active": true, "status": "active", "yes_bid_dollars": 0.001, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.002, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.002, "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-02T00:26:17.902686Z", "volume_contracts": 788036.95, "volume_24h_contracts": 15068.62, "open_interest_contracts": 630422.42, "rules_primary": "If Elise Stefanik wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.", "early_close_condition": "This market will close after the Republican party nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.0015, "midpoint_percent": 0.15, "midpoint_percent_exact": "0.1500", "display_percent": "0.2%", "spread_cents": 0.1, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "elon-musk", "name": "Elon Musk", "market_id": "KXPRESNOMR-28-EM", "question": "Will Elon Musk be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?", "source_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpresnomr/republican-primary-winner/kxpresnomr-28", "active": true, "status": "active", "yes_bid_dollars": 0.001, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.002, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.002, "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-02T00:26:17.902686Z", "volume_contracts": 1890017.49, "volume_24h_contracts": 21999.93, "open_interest_contracts": 1362465.58, "rules_primary": "If Elon Musk wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.", "early_close_condition": "This market will close after the Republican party nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.0015, "midpoint_percent": 0.15, "midpoint_percent_exact": "0.1500", "display_percent": "0.2%", "spread_cents": 0.1, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "eric-trump", "name": "Eric Trump", "market_id": "KXPRESNOMR-28-ETRU", "question": "Will Eric Trump be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?", "source_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpresnomr/republican-primary-winner/kxpresnomr-28", "active": true, "status": "active", "yes_bid_dollars": 0.001, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.002, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.001, "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-02T00:26:17.401723Z", "volume_contracts": 1780656.25, "volume_24h_contracts": 14119.79, "open_interest_contracts": 1242637.85, "rules_primary": "If Eric Trump wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.", "early_close_condition": "This market will close after the Republican party nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.0015, "midpoint_percent": 0.15, "midpoint_percent_exact": "0.1500", "display_percent": "0.2%", "spread_cents": 0.1, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "erika-kirk", "name": "Erika Kirk", "market_id": "KXPRESNOMR-28-EKIR", "question": "Will Erika Kirk be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?", "source_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpresnomr/republican-primary-winner/kxpresnomr-28", "active": true, "status": "active", "yes_bid_dollars": 0.001, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.002, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.001, "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-02T00:26:17.401723Z", "volume_contracts": 1208753.05, "volume_24h_contracts": 10315.43, "open_interest_contracts": 1037517.98, "rules_primary": "If Erika Kirk 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"open_interest_contracts": 1075983.97, "rules_primary": "If Greg Abbott wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.", "early_close_condition": "This market will close after the Republican party nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.0015, "midpoint_percent": 0.15, "midpoint_percent_exact": "0.1500", "display_percent": "0.2%", "spread_cents": 0.1, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "gregory-bovino", "name": "Gregory Bovino", "market_id": "KXPRESNOMR-28-GBOV", "question": "Will Gregory Bovino be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?", "source_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpresnomr/republican-primary-winner/kxpresnomr-28", "active": true, "status": "active", "yes_bid_dollars": 0.001, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.002, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.001, "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-05T21:00:40.176965Z", "volume_contracts": 18735.45, "volume_24h_contracts": 18735.45, "open_interest_contracts": 18735.45, "rules_primary": "If Gregory Bovino wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.", "early_close_condition": "This market will close after the Republican party nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.0015, "midpoint_percent": 0.15, "midpoint_percent_exact": "0.1500", "display_percent": "0.2%", "spread_cents": 0.1, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "jeff-bezos", "name": "Jeff Bezos", "market_id": "KXPRESNOMR-28-JBZ", "question": "Will Jeff Bezos be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?", "source_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpresnomr/republican-primary-winner/kxpresnomr-28", "active": true, "status": "active", "yes_bid_dollars": 0.001, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.002, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.002, "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-02T00:26:17.401723Z", "volume_contracts": 172699.49, "volume_24h_contracts": 19458.25, "open_interest_contracts": 172605.98, "rules_primary": "If Jeff Bezos wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.", "early_close_condition": "This market will close after the Republican party nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.0015, "midpoint_percent": 0.15, "midpoint_percent_exact": "0.1500", "display_percent": "0.2%", "spread_cents": 0.1, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "john-thune", "name": "John Thune", "market_id": "KXPRESNOMR-28-JT", "question": "Will John Thune be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?", "source_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpresnomr/republican-primary-winner/kxpresnomr-28", "active": true, "status": "active", "yes_bid_dollars": 0.001, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.002, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.001, "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-02T00:26:17.902686Z", "volume_contracts": 499805.38, "volume_24h_contracts": 14626.63, "open_interest_contracts": 440661.77, "rules_primary": "If John Thune wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.", "early_close_condition": "This market will close after the Republican party nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.0015, "midpoint_percent": 0.15, "midpoint_percent_exact": "0.1500", "display_percent": "0.2%", "spread_cents": 0.1, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "kristi-noem", "name": "Kristi Noem", "market_id": "KXPRESNOMR-28-KNOE", "question": "Will Kristi Noem be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?", "source_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpresnomr/republican-primary-winner/kxpresnomr-28", "active": true, "status": "active", "yes_bid_dollars": 0.001, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.002, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.001, "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-02T00:26:17.902686Z", "volume_contracts": 724703.68, "volume_24h_contracts": 75641.57, "open_interest_contracts": 655610.58, "rules_primary": "If Kristi Noem wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.", "early_close_condition": "This market will close after the Republican party nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.0015, "midpoint_percent": 0.15, "midpoint_percent_exact": "0.1500", "display_percent": "0.2%", "spread_cents": 0.1, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "lara-trump", "name": "Lara Trump", "market_id": "KXPRESNOMR-28-LTRU", "question": "Will Lara Trump be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?", "source_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpresnomr/republican-primary-winner/kxpresnomr-28", "active": true, "status": "active", "yes_bid_dollars": 0.001, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.002, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.001, "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-02T00:26:17.401723Z", "volume_contracts": 45856.13, "volume_24h_contracts": 13418.62, "open_interest_contracts": 43700.97, "rules_primary": "If Lara Trump wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.", "early_close_condition": "This market will close after the Republican party nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.0015, "midpoint_percent": 0.15, "midpoint_percent_exact": "0.1500", "display_percent": "0.2%", "spread_cents": 0.1, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "wesley-hunt", "name": "Wesley Hunt", "market_id": "KXPRESNOMR-28-WHUN", "question": "Will Wesley Hunt be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?", "source_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpresnomr/republican-primary-winner/kxpresnomr-28", "active": true, "status": "active", "yes_bid_dollars": 0.001, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.002, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.001, "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-02T00:26:17.401723Z", "volume_contracts": 58718.74, "volume_24h_contracts": 15320.07, "open_interest_contracts": 58668.74, "rules_primary": "If Wesley Hunt wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.", "early_close_condition": "This market will close after the Republican party nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.0015, "midpoint_percent": 0.15, "midpoint_percent_exact": "0.1500", "display_percent": "0.2%", "spread_cents": 0.1, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "ben-shapiro", "name": "Ben Shapiro", "market_id": "KXPRESNOMR-28-BSHA", "question": "Will Ben Shapiro be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?", "source_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpresnomr/republican-primary-winner/kxpresnomr-28", "active": true, "status": "active", "yes_bid_dollars": 0.0, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.002, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.002, "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-02T00:26:17.401723Z", "volume_contracts": 31505.07, "volume_24h_contracts": 18941.99, "open_interest_contracts": 31505.07, "rules_primary": "If Ben Shapiro wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.", "early_close_condition": "This market will close after the Republican party nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.001, "midpoint_percent": 0.1, "midpoint_percent_exact": "0.1000", "display_percent": "0.1%", "spread_cents": 0.2, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "matt-gaetz", "name": "Matt Gaetz", "market_id": "KXPRESNOMR-28-MG", "question": "Will Matt Gaetz be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?", "source_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpresnomr/republican-primary-winner/kxpresnomr-28", "active": true, "status": "active", "yes_bid_dollars": 0.0, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.002, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.002, "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-02T00:26:17.902686Z", "volume_contracts": 1146805.7, "volume_24h_contracts": 10894.81, "open_interest_contracts": 925914.7, "rules_primary": "If Matt Gaetz wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.", "early_close_condition": "This market will close after the Republican party nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.001, "midpoint_percent": 0.1, "midpoint_percent_exact": "0.1000", "display_percent": "0.1%", "spread_cents": 0.2, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "vivek-ramaswamy", "name": "Vivek Ramaswamy", "market_id": "KXPRESNOMR-28-VR", "question": "Will Vivek Ramaswamy be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?", "source_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpresnomr/republican-primary-winner/kxpresnomr-28", "active": true, "status": "active", "yes_bid_dollars": 0.0, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.002, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.002, "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-02T00:26:17.902686Z", "volume_contracts": 1756792.6, "volume_24h_contracts": 16799.82, "open_interest_contracts": 1185924.44, "rules_primary": "If Vivek Ramaswamy wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.", "early_close_condition": "This market will close after the Republican party nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.001, "midpoint_percent": 0.1, "midpoint_percent_exact": "0.1000", "display_percent": "0.1%", "spread_cents": 0.2, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "jared-kushner", "name": "Jared Kushner", "market_id": "KXPRESNOMR-28-JKUS", "question": "Will Jared Kushner be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?", "source_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpresnomr/republican-primary-winner/kxpresnomr-28", "active": true, "status": "active", "yes_bid_dollars": 0.0, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.001, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.001, "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-05T21:01:32.175492Z", "volume_contracts": 10091.62, "volume_24h_contracts": 10091.62, "open_interest_contracts": 10091.62, "rules_primary": "If Jared Kushner wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.", "early_close_condition": "This market will close after the Republican party nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.0005, "midpoint_percent": 0.05, "midpoint_percent_exact": "0.0500", "display_percent": "0.1%", "spread_cents": 0.1, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "nicki-minaj", "name": "Nicki Minaj", "market_id": "KXPRESNOMR-28-NMIN", "question": "Will Nicki Minaj be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?", "source_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpresnomr/republican-primary-winner/kxpresnomr-28", "active": true, "status": "active", "yes_bid_dollars": 0.0, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.001, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.001, "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-02T00:26:17.401723Z", "volume_contracts": 1473710.33, "volume_24h_contracts": 34340.8, "open_interest_contracts": 1340722.16, "rules_primary": "If Nicki Minaj wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.", "early_close_condition": "This market will close after the Republican party nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.0005, "midpoint_percent": 0.05, "midpoint_percent_exact": "0.0500", "display_percent": "0.1%", "spread_cents": 0.1, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" } ], "top_six_person_ids": [ "jd-vance", "marco-rubio", "ron-desantis", "john-mcentee", "tucker-carlson", "thomas-massie" ], "rules_summary": "Yes settles if the named person wins and accepts the Republican nomination for U.S. president in 2028.", "rule_source": "Republican Party", "event_volume": { "value": 84390373.02, "unit": "contracts", "derivation": "Sum of 50 returned active market volume_fp fields; not cash wagered." }, "event_liquidity": null }, { "id": "polymarket", "name": "Polymarket", "event_title": "Republican Presidential Nominee 2028", "event_id": "31875", "event_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/republican-presidential-nominee-2028", "api_url": "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/events/slug/republican-presidential-nominee-2028", "captured_at_utc": "2026-11-07T01:20:37.546816+00:00", "captured_at_eastern": "2026-11-06T20:20:37.546816-05:00", "http_response_date": "Sat, 07 Nov 2026 01:17:00 GMT", "source_event_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-07T01:15:41.50428Z", "source_timestamp_note": "The API update fields refer to market/event metadata and are not asserted to be timestamps of the individual bid or ask. The capture time identifies this frozen snapshot.", "raw_capture_file": "polymarket-event.json", "raw_sha256": "f40dd09d2dea2a475bf2efff7b869a7662d9be46b2e1b8c437b6bbe8b0a7b3a2", "eligible_outcome_count": 43, "outcomes": [ { "person_id": "jd-vance", "name": "J.D. Vance", "market_id": "561974", "question": "Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?", "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/republican-presidential-nominee-2028/will-jd-vance-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination", "active": true, "archived": false, "closed": false, "accepting_orders": true, "yes_bid_dollars": 0.376, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.377, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.377, "source_outcome_prices": [ "0.3765", "0.6235" ], "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-07T01:15:26.914301Z", "volume_usd": 16936591.557476006, "volume_24h_usd": 112022.48784800002, "liquidity_usd": 365419.3598, "rules": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.3765, "midpoint_percent": 37.65, "midpoint_percent_exact": "37.6500", "display_percent": "37.7%", "spread_cents": 0.1, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "marco-rubio", "name": "Marco Rubio", "market_id": "561975", "question": "Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?", "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/republican-presidential-nominee-2028/will-marco-rubio-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination", "active": true, "archived": false, "closed": false, "accepting_orders": true, "yes_bid_dollars": 0.19, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.191, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.19, "source_outcome_prices": [ "0.1905", "0.8095" ], "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-07T01:15:26.914301Z", "volume_usd": 11461011.259273, "volume_24h_usd": 28654.549245, "liquidity_usd": 254116.60344, "rules": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.1905, "midpoint_percent": 19.05, "midpoint_percent_exact": "19.0500", "display_percent": "19.1%", "spread_cents": 0.1, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "ron-desantis", "name": "Ron DeSantis", "market_id": "561979", "question": "Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?", "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/republican-presidential-nominee-2028/will-ron-desantis-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination", "active": true, "archived": false, "closed": false, "accepting_orders": true, "yes_bid_dollars": 0.141, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.142, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.142, "source_outcome_prices": [ "0.1415", "0.8585" ], "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-07T01:15:26.914301Z", "volume_usd": 16452059.383065, "volume_24h_usd": 32394.691503, "liquidity_usd": 224210.28403, "rules": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.1415, "midpoint_percent": 14.15, "midpoint_percent_exact": "14.1500", "display_percent": "14.2%", "spread_cents": 0.1, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "john-mcentee", "name": "John McEntee", "market_id": "562016", "question": "Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?", "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/republican-presidential-nominee-2028/will-john-mcentee-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination", "active": true, "archived": false, "closed": false, "accepting_orders": true, "yes_bid_dollars": 0.028, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.047, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.045, "source_outcome_prices": [ "0.0375", "0.9625" ], "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-07T01:15:26.914301Z", "volume_usd": 1491452.084255, "volume_24h_usd": 62970.867255000005, "liquidity_usd": 199680.75333, "rules": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.0375, "midpoint_percent": 3.75, "midpoint_percent_exact": "3.7500", "display_percent": "3.8%", "spread_cents": 1.9, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "tucker-carlson", "name": "Tucker Carlson", "market_id": "561996", "question": "Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?", "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/republican-presidential-nominee-2028/will-tucker-carlson-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination", "active": true, "archived": false, "closed": false, "accepting_orders": true, "yes_bid_dollars": 0.035, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.036, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.035, "source_outcome_prices": [ "0.0355", "0.9645" ], "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-07T01:15:26.914301Z", "volume_usd": 13981343.639222996, "volume_24h_usd": 8419.190551999998, "liquidity_usd": 185141.0077, "rules": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.0355, "midpoint_percent": 3.55, "midpoint_percent_exact": "3.5500", "display_percent": "3.6%", "spread_cents": 0.1, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "glenn-youngkin", "name": "Glenn Youngkin", "market_id": "561977", "question": "Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?", "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/republican-presidential-nominee-2028/will-glenn-youngkin-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination", "active": true, "archived": false, "closed": false, "accepting_orders": true, "yes_bid_dollars": 0.033, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.035, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.035, "source_outcome_prices": [ "0.034", "0.966" ], "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-07T01:15:26.914301Z", "volume_usd": 9112022.635448001, "volume_24h_usd": 6305.474719, "liquidity_usd": 160312.86791, "rules": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.034, "midpoint_percent": 3.4, "midpoint_percent_exact": "3.400", "display_percent": "3.4%", "spread_cents": 0.2, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "thomas-massie", "name": "Thomas Massie", "market_id": "562005", "question": "Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?", "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/republican-presidential-nominee-2028/will-thomas-massie-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination", "active": true, "archived": false, "closed": false, "accepting_orders": true, "yes_bid_dollars": 0.029, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.031, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.03, "source_outcome_prices": [ "0.03", "0.97" ], "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-07T01:15:26.914301Z", "volume_usd": 6365874.904033998, "volume_24h_usd": 14297.682147000001, "liquidity_usd": 175112.62608, "rules": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.03, "midpoint_percent": 3.0, "midpoint_percent_exact": "3.000", "display_percent": "3.0%", "spread_cents": 0.2, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "ted-cruz", "name": "Ted Cruz", "market_id": "561989", "question": "Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?", "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/republican-presidential-nominee-2028/will-ted-cruz-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination", "active": true, "archived": false, "closed": false, "accepting_orders": true, "yes_bid_dollars": 0.026, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.027, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.027, "source_outcome_prices": [ "0.0265", "0.9735" ], "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-07T01:15:26.914301Z", "volume_usd": 19996787.004201, "volume_24h_usd": 13337.632622, "liquidity_usd": 550981.25692, "rules": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.0265, "midpoint_percent": 2.65, "midpoint_percent_exact": "2.6500", "display_percent": "2.7%", "spread_cents": 0.1, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "brian-kemp", "name": "Brian Kemp", "market_id": "561985", "question": "Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?", "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/republican-presidential-nominee-2028/will-brian-kemp-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination", "active": true, "archived": false, "closed": false, "accepting_orders": true, "yes_bid_dollars": 0.015, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.019, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.021, "source_outcome_prices": [ "0.017", "0.983" ], "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-07T01:15:26.914301Z", "volume_usd": 18495707.210474998, "volume_24h_usd": 39587.540881, "liquidity_usd": 153911.64308, "rules": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.017, "midpoint_percent": 1.7, "midpoint_percent_exact": "1.700", "display_percent": "1.7%", "spread_cents": 0.4, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "donald-trump-jr", "name": "Donald Trump Jr.", "market_id": "561978", "question": "Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?", "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/republican-presidential-nominee-2028/will-donald-trump-jr-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination", "active": true, "archived": false, "closed": false, "accepting_orders": true, "yes_bid_dollars": 0.015, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.016, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.015, "source_outcome_prices": [ "0.0155", "0.9845" ], "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-07T01:15:26.914301Z", "volume_usd": 9839742.846051002, "volume_24h_usd": 11612.987596, "liquidity_usd": 387273.14478, "rules": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.0155, "midpoint_percent": 1.55, "midpoint_percent_exact": "1.5500", "display_percent": "1.6%", "spread_cents": 0.1, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "joe-kent", "name": "Joe Kent", "market_id": "562007", "question": "Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?", "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/republican-presidential-nominee-2028/will-joe-kent-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination", "active": true, "archived": false, "closed": false, "accepting_orders": true, "yes_bid_dollars": 0.01, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.011, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.011, "source_outcome_prices": [ "0.0105", "0.9895" ], "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-07T01:15:26.914301Z", "volume_usd": 9859029.75436, "volume_24h_usd": 9302.372858, "liquidity_usd": 225035.20272, "rules": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.0105, "midpoint_percent": 1.05, "midpoint_percent_exact": "1.0500", "display_percent": "1.1%", "spread_cents": 0.1, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "byron-donalds", "name": "Byron Donalds", "market_id": "561986", "question": "Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?", "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/republican-presidential-nominee-2028/will-byron-donalds-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination", "active": true, "archived": false, "closed": false, "accepting_orders": true, "yes_bid_dollars": 0.008, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.009, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.008, "source_outcome_prices": [ "0.0085", "0.9915" ], "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-07T01:15:26.914301Z", "volume_usd": 44911843.443634, "volume_24h_usd": 31358.851112000004, "liquidity_usd": 1393893.57994, "rules": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.0085, "midpoint_percent": 0.85, "midpoint_percent_exact": "0.8500", "display_percent": "0.9%", "spread_cents": 0.1, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "nikki-haley", "name": "Nikki Haley", "market_id": "561980", "question": "Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?", "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/republican-presidential-nominee-2028/will-nikki-haley-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination", "active": true, "archived": false, "closed": false, "accepting_orders": true, "yes_bid_dollars": 0.008, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.009, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.008, "source_outcome_prices": [ "0.0085", "0.9915" ], "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-07T01:15:26.914301Z", "volume_usd": 10896214.564767, "volume_24h_usd": 96623.79793799997, "liquidity_usd": 521700.24018, "rules": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.0085, "midpoint_percent": 0.85, "midpoint_percent_exact": "0.8500", "display_percent": "0.9%", "spread_cents": 0.1, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "ivanka-trump", "name": "Ivanka Trump", "market_id": "561998", "question": "Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?", "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/republican-presidential-nominee-2028/will-ivanka-trump-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination", "active": true, "archived": false, "closed": false, "accepting_orders": true, "yes_bid_dollars": 0.007, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.008, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.007, "source_outcome_prices": [ "0.0075", "0.9925" ], "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-07T01:15:26.914301Z", "volume_usd": 9002128.082191002, "volume_24h_usd": 4383.0, "liquidity_usd": 356589.33097, "rules": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.0075, "midpoint_percent": 0.75, "midpoint_percent_exact": "0.7500", "display_percent": "0.8%", "spread_cents": 0.1, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "donald-trump", "name": "Donald Trump", "market_id": "561973", "question": "Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?", "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/republican-presidential-nominee-2028/will-donald-trump-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination", "active": true, "archived": false, "closed": false, "accepting_orders": true, "yes_bid_dollars": 0.006, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.007, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.007, "source_outcome_prices": [ "0.0065", "0.9935" ], "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-07T01:13:26.396222Z", "volume_usd": 9899348.550515002, "volume_24h_usd": 15574.66, "liquidity_usd": 419744.32645, "rules": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.0065, "midpoint_percent": 0.65, "midpoint_percent_exact": "0.6500", "display_percent": "0.7%", "spread_cents": 0.1, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "josh-hawley", "name": "Josh Hawley", "market_id": "561988", "question": "Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?", "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/republican-presidential-nominee-2028/will-josh-hawley-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination", "active": true, "archived": false, "closed": false, "accepting_orders": true, "yes_bid_dollars": 0.005, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.006, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.005, "source_outcome_prices": [ "0.0055", "0.9945" ], "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-07T01:15:26.914301Z", "volume_usd": 20680338.529035, "volume_24h_usd": 23279.976667, "liquidity_usd": 441860.92666, "rules": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.0055, "midpoint_percent": 0.55, "midpoint_percent_exact": "0.5500", "display_percent": "0.6%", "spread_cents": 0.1, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "rand-paul", "name": "Rand Paul", "market_id": "562000", "question": "Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?", "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/republican-presidential-nominee-2028/will-rand-paul-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination", "active": true, "archived": false, "closed": false, "accepting_orders": true, "yes_bid_dollars": 0.005, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.006, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.005, "source_outcome_prices": [ "0.0055", "0.9945" ], "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-07T01:15:26.914301Z", "volume_usd": 19931461.892494004, "volume_24h_usd": 8352.758334, "liquidity_usd": 1226746.3176, "rules": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.0055, "midpoint_percent": 0.55, "midpoint_percent_exact": "0.5500", "display_percent": "0.6%", "spread_cents": 0.1, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "tom-cotton", "name": "Tom Cotton", "market_id": "562013", "question": "Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?", "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/republican-presidential-nominee-2028/will-tom-cotton-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination", "active": true, "archived": false, "closed": false, "accepting_orders": true, "yes_bid_dollars": 0.004, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.007, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.004, "source_outcome_prices": [ "0.0055", "0.9945" ], "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-07T01:15:26.914301Z", "volume_usd": 1994935.5640330005, "volume_24h_usd": 15075.881429, "liquidity_usd": 241499.46591, "rules": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.0055, "midpoint_percent": 0.55, "midpoint_percent_exact": "0.5500", "display_percent": "0.6%", "spread_cents": 0.3, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "marjorie-taylor-greene", "name": "Marjorie Taylor Greene", "market_id": "562004", "question": "Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?", "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/republican-presidential-nominee-2028/will-marjorie-taylor-greene-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination", "active": true, "archived": false, "closed": false, "accepting_orders": true, "yes_bid_dollars": 0.004, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.005, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.005, "source_outcome_prices": [ "0.0045", "0.9955" ], "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-07T01:15:26.914301Z", "volume_usd": 6987484.091467999, "volume_24h_usd": 51050.50066699999, "liquidity_usd": 806732.15481, "rules": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.0045, "midpoint_percent": 0.45, "midpoint_percent_exact": "0.4500", "display_percent": "0.5%", "spread_cents": 0.1, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "robert-f-kennedy-jr", "name": "Robert F. Kennedy Jr.", "market_id": "561984", "question": "Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?", "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/republican-presidential-nominee-2028/will-robert-f-kennedy-jr-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination", "active": true, "archived": false, "closed": false, "accepting_orders": true, "yes_bid_dollars": 0.003, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.004, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.004, "source_outcome_prices": [ "0.0035", "0.9965" ], "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-07T01:15:26.914301Z", "volume_usd": 17001706.205305, "volume_24h_usd": 18568.391333, "liquidity_usd": 336407.74081, "rules": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.0035, "midpoint_percent": 0.35, "midpoint_percent_exact": "0.3500", "display_percent": "0.4%", "spread_cents": 0.1, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "sarah-huckabee-sanders", "name": "Sarah Huckabee Sanders", "market_id": "561982", "question": "Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?", "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/republican-presidential-nominee-2028/will-sarah-huckabee-sanders-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination", "active": true, "archived": false, "closed": false, "accepting_orders": true, "yes_bid_dollars": 0.003, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.004, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.003, "source_outcome_prices": [ "0.0035", "0.9965" ], "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-07T01:15:26.914301Z", "volume_usd": 36782095.32383301, "volume_24h_usd": 86402.82, "liquidity_usd": 415072.08351, "rules": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.0035, "midpoint_percent": 0.35, "midpoint_percent_exact": "0.3500", "display_percent": "0.4%", "spread_cents": 0.1, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "katie-britt", "name": "Katie Britt", "market_id": "561992", "question": "Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?", "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/republican-presidential-nominee-2028/will-katie-britt-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination", "active": true, "archived": false, "closed": false, "accepting_orders": true, "yes_bid_dollars": 0.002, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.004, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.003, "source_outcome_prices": [ "0.003", "0.997" ], "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-07T01:15:26.914301Z", "volume_usd": 29133204.118119996, "volume_24h_usd": 15079.86375, "liquidity_usd": 1849582.53928, "rules": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.003, "midpoint_percent": 0.3, "midpoint_percent_exact": "0.300", "display_percent": "0.3%", "spread_cents": 0.2, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "candace-owens", "name": "Candace Owens", "market_id": "562009", "question": "Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?", "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/republican-presidential-nominee-2028/will-candace-owens-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination", "active": true, "archived": false, "closed": false, "accepting_orders": true, "yes_bid_dollars": 0.002, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.003, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.002, "source_outcome_prices": [ "0.0025", "0.9975" ], "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-07T01:15:26.914301Z", "volume_usd": 1596635.053332, "volume_24h_usd": 13258.333333999999, "liquidity_usd": 285410.7598, "rules": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.0025, "midpoint_percent": 0.25, "midpoint_percent_exact": "0.2500", "display_percent": "0.3%", "spread_cents": 0.1, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "elon-musk", "name": "Elon Musk", "market_id": "561990", "question": "Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?", "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/republican-presidential-nominee-2028/will-elon-musk-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination", "active": true, "archived": false, "closed": false, "accepting_orders": true, "yes_bid_dollars": 0.002, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.003, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.002, "source_outcome_prices": [ "0.0025", "0.9975" ], "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-07T01:11:26.530388Z", "volume_usd": 32017824.854954004, "volume_24h_usd": 17828.0, "liquidity_usd": 719709.1497, "rules": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.0025, "midpoint_percent": 0.25, "midpoint_percent_exact": "0.2500", "display_percent": "0.3%", "spread_cents": 0.1, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "john-kennedy", "name": "John N. Kennedy", "market_id": "562014", "question": "Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?", "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/republican-presidential-nominee-2028/will-john-n-kennedy-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination", "active": true, "archived": false, "closed": false, "accepting_orders": true, "yes_bid_dollars": 0.002, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.003, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.002, "source_outcome_prices": [ "0.0025", "0.9975" ], "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-07T01:15:26.914301Z", "volume_usd": 2109639.6040000003, "volume_24h_usd": 10151.298, "liquidity_usd": 184580.97858, "rules": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.0025, "midpoint_percent": 0.25, "midpoint_percent_exact": "0.2500", "display_percent": "0.3%", "spread_cents": 0.1, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "tim-scott", "name": "Tim Scott", "market_id": "562010", "question": "Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?", "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/republican-presidential-nominee-2028/will-tim-scott-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination", "active": true, "archived": false, "closed": false, "accepting_orders": true, "yes_bid_dollars": 0.002, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.003, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.002, "source_outcome_prices": [ "0.0025", "0.9975" ], "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-07T01:15:26.914301Z", "volume_usd": 1807392.367833, "volume_24h_usd": 25694.674, "liquidity_usd": 553677.28899, "rules": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.0025, "midpoint_percent": 0.25, "midpoint_percent_exact": "0.2500", "display_percent": "0.3%", "spread_cents": 0.1, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "rick-scott", "name": "Rick Scott", "market_id": "562015", "question": "Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?", "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/republican-presidential-nominee-2028/will-rick-scott-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination", "active": true, "archived": false, "closed": false, "accepting_orders": true, "yes_bid_dollars": 0.001, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.003, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.001, "source_outcome_prices": [ "0.002", "0.998" ], "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-07T01:11:26.530388Z", "volume_usd": 1980431.8574050004, "volume_24h_usd": 746701.2885720001, "liquidity_usd": 252423.33102, "rules": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.002, "midpoint_percent": 0.2, "midpoint_percent_exact": "0.200", "display_percent": "0.2%", "spread_cents": 0.2, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "doug-burgum", "name": "Doug Burgum", "market_id": "562012", "question": "Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?", "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/republican-presidential-nominee-2028/will-doug-burgum-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination", "active": true, "archived": false, "closed": false, "accepting_orders": true, "yes_bid_dollars": 0.001, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.002, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.001, "source_outcome_prices": [ "0.0015", "0.9985" ], "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-07T01:15:26.914301Z", "volume_usd": 1896820.1550000003, "volume_24h_usd": 9843.0, "liquidity_usd": 348457.62781, "rules": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.0015, "midpoint_percent": 0.15, "midpoint_percent_exact": "0.1500", "display_percent": "0.2%", "spread_cents": 0.1, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "elise-stefanik", "name": "Elise Stefanik", "market_id": "561987", "question": "Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?", "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/republican-presidential-nominee-2028/will-elise-stefanik-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination", "active": true, "archived": false, "closed": false, "accepting_orders": true, "yes_bid_dollars": 0.001, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.002, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.001, "source_outcome_prices": [ "0.0015", "0.9985" ], "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-07T01:15:26.914301Z", "volume_usd": 28272276.309929, "volume_24h_usd": 32255.0, "liquidity_usd": 1712392.01712, "rules": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.0015, "midpoint_percent": 0.15, "midpoint_percent_exact": "0.1500", "display_percent": "0.2%", "spread_cents": 0.1, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "eric-trump", "name": "Eric Trump", "market_id": "562006", "question": "Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?", "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/republican-presidential-nominee-2028/will-eric-trump-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination", "active": true, "archived": false, "closed": false, "accepting_orders": true, "yes_bid_dollars": 0.001, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.002, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.001, "source_outcome_prices": [ "0.0015", "0.9985" ], "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-07T01:13:26.396222Z", "volume_usd": 10681817.350541, "volume_24h_usd": 4093.0, "liquidity_usd": 913848.17766, "rules": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.0015, "midpoint_percent": 0.15, "midpoint_percent_exact": "0.1500", "display_percent": "0.2%", "spread_cents": 0.1, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "greg-abbott", "name": "Greg Abbott", "market_id": "561983", "question": "Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?", "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/republican-presidential-nominee-2028/will-greg-abbott-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination", "active": true, "archived": false, "closed": false, "accepting_orders": true, "yes_bid_dollars": 0.001, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.002, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.001, "source_outcome_prices": [ "0.0015", "0.9985" ], "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-07T01:15:26.914301Z", "volume_usd": 21627235.470714003, "volume_24h_usd": 4188.98, "liquidity_usd": 1412241.12786, "rules": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.0015, "midpoint_percent": 0.15, "midpoint_percent_exact": "0.1500", "display_percent": "0.2%", "spread_cents": 0.1, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "kim-kardashian", "name": "Kim Kardashian", "market_id": "562003", "question": "Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?", "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/republican-presidential-nominee-2028/will-kim-kardashian-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination", "active": true, "archived": false, "closed": false, "accepting_orders": true, "yes_bid_dollars": 0.001, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.002, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.001, "source_outcome_prices": [ "0.0015", "0.9985" ], "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-07T01:13:26.396222Z", "volume_usd": 28729339.368341003, "volume_24h_usd": 26085.955, "liquidity_usd": 1417841.69247, "rules": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.0015, "midpoint_percent": 0.15, "midpoint_percent_exact": "0.1500", "display_percent": "0.2%", "spread_cents": 0.1, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "kristi-noem", "name": "Kristi Noem", "market_id": "561994", "question": "Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?", "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/republican-presidential-nominee-2028/will-kristi-noem-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination", "active": true, "archived": false, "closed": false, "accepting_orders": true, "yes_bid_dollars": 0.001, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.002, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.001, "source_outcome_prices": [ "0.0015", "0.9985" ], "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-07T01:15:26.914301Z", "volume_usd": 37837261.603599004, "volume_24h_usd": 11093.0, "liquidity_usd": 2227494.56552, "rules": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.0015, "midpoint_percent": 0.15, "midpoint_percent_exact": "0.1500", "display_percent": "0.2%", "spread_cents": 0.1, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "mike-pence", "name": "Mike Pence", "market_id": "561995", "question": "Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?", "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/republican-presidential-nominee-2028/will-mike-pence-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination", "active": true, "archived": false, "closed": false, "accepting_orders": true, "yes_bid_dollars": 0.001, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.002, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.001, "source_outcome_prices": [ "0.0015", "0.9985" ], "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-07T01:11:26.530388Z", "volume_usd": 43846294.169575, "volume_24h_usd": 26678.97, "liquidity_usd": 1374818.39076, "rules": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.0015, "midpoint_percent": 0.15, "midpoint_percent_exact": "0.1500", "display_percent": "0.2%", "spread_cents": 0.1, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "pete-hegseth", "name": "Pete Hegseth", "market_id": "562008", "question": "Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?", "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/republican-presidential-nominee-2028/will-pete-hegseth-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination", "active": true, "archived": false, "closed": false, "accepting_orders": true, "yes_bid_dollars": 0.001, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.002, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.001, "source_outcome_prices": [ "0.0015", "0.9985" ], "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-07T01:15:26.914301Z", "volume_usd": 9554916.362898001, "volume_24h_usd": 8093.0, "liquidity_usd": 1572189.73045, "rules": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.0015, "midpoint_percent": 0.15, "midpoint_percent_exact": "0.1500", "display_percent": "0.2%", "spread_cents": 0.1, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "steve-bannon", "name": "Steve Bannon", "market_id": "562001", "question": "Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?", "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/republican-presidential-nominee-2028/will-steve-bannon-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination", "active": true, "archived": false, "closed": false, "accepting_orders": true, "yes_bid_dollars": 0.001, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.002, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.001, "source_outcome_prices": [ "0.0015", "0.9985" ], "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-07T01:15:26.914301Z", "volume_usd": 23176824.08407099, "volume_24h_usd": 12998.017, "liquidity_usd": 1687639.97516, "rules": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.0015, "midpoint_percent": 0.15, "midpoint_percent_exact": "0.1500", "display_percent": "0.2%", "spread_cents": 0.1, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "tom-brady", "name": "Tom Brady", "market_id": "561999", "question": "Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?", "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/republican-presidential-nominee-2028/will-tom-brady-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination", "active": true, "archived": false, "closed": false, "accepting_orders": true, "yes_bid_dollars": 0.001, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.002, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.001, "source_outcome_prices": [ "0.0015", "0.9985" ], "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-07T01:13:26.396222Z", "volume_usd": 33320636.457228992, "volume_24h_usd": 2257.0, "liquidity_usd": 1422625.55784, "rules": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.0015, "midpoint_percent": 0.15, "midpoint_percent_exact": "0.1500", "display_percent": "0.2%", "spread_cents": 0.1, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "tulsi-gabbard", "name": "Tulsi Gabbard", "market_id": "561976", "question": "Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?", "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/republican-presidential-nominee-2028/will-tulsi-gabbard-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination", "active": true, "archived": false, "closed": false, "accepting_orders": true, "yes_bid_dollars": 0.001, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.002, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.001, "source_outcome_prices": [ "0.0015", "0.9985" ], "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-07T01:15:26.914301Z", "volume_usd": 15050099.557848003, "volume_24h_usd": 492715.0, "liquidity_usd": 332846.50161, "rules": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.0015, "midpoint_percent": 0.15, "midpoint_percent_exact": "0.1500", "display_percent": "0.2%", "spread_cents": 0.1, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "vivek-ramaswamy", "name": "Vivek Ramaswamy", "market_id": "561981", "question": "Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?", "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/republican-presidential-nominee-2028/will-vivek-ramaswamy-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination", "active": true, "archived": false, "closed": false, "accepting_orders": true, "yes_bid_dollars": 0.001, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.002, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.001, "source_outcome_prices": [ "0.0015", "0.9985" ], "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-07T01:15:26.914301Z", "volume_usd": 16294970.140789, "volume_24h_usd": 4333.16, "liquidity_usd": 368173.30887, "rules": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", "midpoint_dollars": 0.0015, "midpoint_percent": 0.15, "midpoint_percent_exact": "0.1500", "display_percent": "0.2%", "spread_cents": 0.1, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote captured" }, { "person_id": "erika-kirk", "name": "Erika Kirk", "market_id": "562002", "question": "Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?", "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/republican-presidential-nominee-2028/will-erika-kirk-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination", "active": true, "archived": false, "closed": false, "accepting_orders": true, "yes_bid_dollars": null, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.002, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.002, "source_outcome_prices": [ "0.001", "0.999" ], "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-07T01:15:26.914301Z", "volume_usd": 19218032.328351997, "volume_24h_usd": 1478.0, "liquidity_usd": 573218.85403, "rules": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", "midpoint_dollars": null, "midpoint_percent": null, "display_percent": null, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote unavailable" }, { "person_id": "john-thune", "name": "John Thune", "market_id": "561993", "question": "Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?", "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/republican-presidential-nominee-2028/will-john-thune-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination", "active": true, "archived": false, "closed": false, "accepting_orders": true, "yes_bid_dollars": null, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.001, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.001, "source_outcome_prices": [ "0.0005", "0.9995" ], "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-07T01:13:26.396222Z", "volume_usd": 38692291.575502, "volume_24h_usd": null, "liquidity_usd": 1672580.92008, "rules": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", "midpoint_dollars": null, "midpoint_percent": null, "display_percent": null, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote unavailable" }, { "person_id": "matt-gaetz", "name": "Matt Gaetz", "market_id": "561991", "question": "Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?", "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/republican-presidential-nominee-2028/will-matt-gaetz-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination", "active": true, "archived": false, "closed": false, "accepting_orders": true, "yes_bid_dollars": null, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.002, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.001, "source_outcome_prices": [ "0.001", "0.999" ], "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-07T01:15:26.914301Z", "volume_usd": 21018938.695418, "volume_24h_usd": 14.49, "liquidity_usd": 733812.67448, "rules": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", "midpoint_dollars": null, "midpoint_percent": null, "display_percent": null, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote unavailable" }, { "person_id": "mike-johnson", "name": "Mike Johnson", "market_id": "562011", "question": "Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?", "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/republican-presidential-nominee-2028/will-mike-johnson-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination", "active": true, "archived": false, "closed": false, "accepting_orders": true, "yes_bid_dollars": null, "yes_ask_dollars": 0.001, "last_trade_price_dollars": 0.001, "source_outcome_prices": [ "0.0005", "0.9995" ], "source_market_metadata_updated_at": "2026-11-07T01:15:26.914301Z", "volume_usd": 1012147.114665, "volume_24h_usd": 68703.73, "liquidity_usd": 1014918.78071, "rules": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", "midpoint_dollars": null, "midpoint_percent": null, "display_percent": null, "quote_status": "Two-sided quote unavailable" } ], "top_six_person_ids": [ "jd-vance", "marco-rubio", "ron-desantis", "john-mcentee", "tucker-carlson", "glenn-youngkin" ], "rules_summary": "Yes settles if the named person wins and accepts the Republican nomination for U.S. president in 2028. Polymarket says replacement of the nominee before election day does not change that resolution.", "rule_source": "Consensus of official Republican Party sources", "event_volume": { "value": 730954207.125251, "unit": "USD", "derivation": "Returned event volume field" }, "event_liquidity": { "value": 31685870.03449, "unit": "USD" } } ], "display_proposal": { "option": "Seven-row comparison: union of each platform\u2019s six highest priced eligible two-sided contracts.", "rows": [ { "person_id": "jd-vance", "name": "J.D. Vance", "kalshi_percent": 33.5, "kalshi_display": "33.5%", "polymarket_percent": 37.65, "polymarket_display": "37.7%" }, { "person_id": "marco-rubio", "name": "Marco Rubio", "kalshi_percent": 20.5, "kalshi_display": "20.5%", "polymarket_percent": 19.05, "polymarket_display": "19.1%" }, { "person_id": "ron-desantis", "name": "Ron DeSantis", "kalshi_percent": 17.5, "kalshi_display": "17.5%", "polymarket_percent": 14.15, "polymarket_display": "14.2%" }, { "person_id": "john-mcentee", "name": "John McEntee", "kalshi_percent": 7.5, "kalshi_display": "7.5%", "polymarket_percent": 3.75, "polymarket_display": "3.8%" }, { "person_id": "tucker-carlson", "name": "Tucker Carlson", "kalshi_percent": 3.65, "kalshi_display": "3.7%", "polymarket_percent": 3.55, "polymarket_display": "3.6%" }, { "person_id": "glenn-youngkin", "name": "Glenn Youngkin", "kalshi_percent": 2.45, "kalshi_display": "2.5%", "polymarket_percent": 3.4, "polymarket_display": "3.4%" }, { "person_id": "thomas-massie", "name": "Thomas Massie", "kalshi_percent": 2.65, "kalshi_display": "2.7%", "polymarket_percent": 3.0, "polymarket_display": "3.0%" } ] }, "polymarket_exclusions": [ { "market_id": "561997", "name": "Robert F. Kennedy Jr.", "active": false, "archived": true, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562017", "name": "Person V", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562018", "name": "Person W", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562019", "name": "Person X", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562020", "name": "Person Y", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562021", "name": "Person Z", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562022", "name": "Person AA", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562023", "name": "Person AB", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562024", "name": "Person AC", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562025", "name": "Person AD", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562026", "name": "Person AE", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562027", "name": "Person AF", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562028", "name": "Person AG", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562029", "name": "Person AH", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562030", "name": "Person AI", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562031", "name": "Person AJ", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562032", "name": "Person AK", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562033", "name": "Person AL", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562034", "name": "Person AM", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562035", "name": "Person AN", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562036", "name": "Person AO", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562037", "name": "Person AP", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562038", "name": "Person AQ", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562039", "name": "Person AR", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562040", "name": "Person AS", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562041", "name": "Person AT", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562042", "name": "Person AU", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562043", "name": "Person AV", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562044", "name": "Person AW", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562045", "name": "Person AX", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562046", "name": "Person AY", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562047", "name": "Person AZ", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562048", "name": "Person BA", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562049", "name": "Person BB", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562050", "name": "Person BC", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562051", "name": "Person BD", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562052", "name": "Person BE", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562053", "name": "Person BF", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562054", "name": "Person BG", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562055", "name": "Person BH", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562056", "name": "Person BI", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562057", "name": "Person BJ", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562058", "name": "Person BK", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562059", "name": "Person BL", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562060", "name": "Person BM", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562061", "name": "Person BN", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562062", "name": "Person BO", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562063", "name": "Person BP", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562064", "name": "Person BQ", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562065", "name": "Person BR", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562066", "name": "Person BS", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562067", "name": "Person BT", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562068", "name": "Person BU", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562069", "name": "Person BV", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562070", "name": "Person BW", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562071", "name": "Person BX", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562072", "name": "Person BY", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562073", "name": "Person BZ", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562074", "name": "Person CA", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562075", "name": "Person CB", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562076", "name": "Person CC", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562077", "name": "Person CD", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562078", "name": "Person CE", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562079", "name": "Person CF", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562080", "name": "Person CG", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562081", "name": "Person CH", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562082", "name": "Person CI", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562083", "name": "Person CJ", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562084", "name": "Person CK", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562085", "name": "Person CL", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562086", "name": "Person CM", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562087", "name": "Person CN", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562088", "name": "Person CO", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562089", "name": "Person CP", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562090", "name": "Person CQ", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562091", "name": "Person CR", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562092", "name": "Person CS", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562093", "name": "Person CT", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562094", "name": "Person CU", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562095", "name": "Person CV", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562096", "name": "Person CW", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562097", "name": "Person CX", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562098", "name": "Person CY", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562099", "name": "Person CZ", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." }, { "market_id": "562103", "name": "Other", "active": false, "archived": false, "closed": false, "reason": "Excluded from active named snapshot; inactive, archived or closed." } ], "integrity_notes": [ "Polymarket API returns 128 market records, of which 43 are active/nonarchived/nonclosed. Excluded 85 records, including inactive placeholder Person labels and one archived duplicate RFK Jr. record.", "Four active Polymarket outcomes have no bestBid field; midpoint remains null for these rows.", "Polymarket page contains an experimental AI-generated summary claiming the archived RFK Jr. record leads at 49%. This conflicts with its active market table and active API record. The summary was not used.", "Kalshi event last_updated_ts is 0001-01-01 and is not a valid quote timestamp; omitted from display metadata.", "Snapshots were obtained in two requests less than one second apart; this is not a streaming feed." ], "source_documentation": [ { "title": "Kalshi public market data", "url": "https://docs.kalshi.com/getting_started/quick_start_market_data" }, { "title": "Polymarket market discovery", "url": "https://docs.polymarket.com/market-data/discover-markets" }, { "title": "Polymarket prices and order books", "url": "https://docs.polymarket.com/market-data/prices-order-books" } ] }