Michigan Republican Primary
Menu
Newsletter signup

    Michigan · 2026 general election · Polling record

    Michigan’s 2026 election polls.

    Compare the published evidence for U.S. Senate, governor, secretary of state and attorney general. Every result keeps its dates, source and qualifications.

    Published by Michigan Republican PrimaryInformation checked

    A selected record of 66 ballot tests, checked through October 29. These are individual surveys, not an average, prediction or exhaustive archive.

    U.S. Senate: Mike Rogers and Abdul El-Sayed

    The comparison names the Republican and Democratic candidates. The official directory includes every active ballot candidate. Survey response options can differ.

    Latest verified release in this selectionCNN / SSRSOct. 29, 2026
    Fieldwork: Oct. 20–27
    Read the source ↗
    42%
    Mike Rogers
    Republican
    49%
    Abdul El-Sayed
    Democratic

    Reported difference · percentage points · release dates

    Reported difference by release dateOne point per published result: Democratic share minus Republican share. No average or trend line. Exact values and source notes appear in the table.R +10EvenD +10D +20Aug. 1Sept. 1Oct. 1Oct. 29CNN / SSRS; released Oct. 29, 2026; Mike Rogers 42%; Abdul El-Sayed 49%. Source opens in a new tab.Mitchell Research; released Oct. 28, 2026; Mike Rogers 44%; Abdul El-Sayed 51%. Source opens in a new tab.Glengariff Group; released Oct. 27, 2026; Mike Rogers 45.1%; Abdul El-Sayed 51.4%. Source opens in a new tab.Michigan State / YouGov; released Oct. 26, 2026; Mike Rogers 45.5%; Abdul El-Sayed 48%. Source opens in a new tab.InsiderAdvantage; released Oct. 23, 2026; Mike Rogers 46%; Abdul El-Sayed 47%. Source opens in a new tab.Marist; released Oct. 21, 2026; Mike Rogers 48%; Abdul El-Sayed 50%. Source opens in a new tab.On Point Polling; released Oct. 19, 2026; Mike Rogers 42.8%; Abdul El-Sayed 48.7%. Source opens in a new tab.Rasmussen Reports; released Oct. 16, 2026; Mike Rogers 44%; Abdul El-Sayed 46%. Source opens in a new tab.InsiderAdvantage; released Oct. 11, 2026; Mike Rogers 46%; Abdul El-Sayed 48%. Source opens in a new tab.Quantus Insights; released Oct. 7, 2026; Mike Rogers 46.5%; Abdul El-Sayed 47.6%. Source opens in a new tab.YouGov; released Oct. 6, 2026; Mike Rogers 48%; Abdul El-Sayed 49%. Source opens in a new tab.Mitchell Research & Communications; released Oct. 5, 2026; Mike Rogers 41.4%; Abdul El-Sayed 45.6%. Source opens in a new tab.Trafalgar Group; released Oct. 1, 2026; Mike Rogers 45.1%; Abdul El-Sayed 46.9%. Source opens in a new tab.Marist Poll; released Sep. 30, 2026; Mike Rogers 44%; Abdul El-Sayed 51%. Source opens in a new tab.Beacon Research / Shaw & Company; released Sep. 30, 2026; Mike Rogers 49%; Abdul El-Sayed 50%. Source opens in a new tab.Cygnal / Beacon Research; released Sep. 29, 2026; Mike Rogers 40%; Abdul El-Sayed 45%. Source opens in a new tab.Big Data Poll; released Sep. 25, 2026; Mike Rogers 42.1%; Abdul El-Sayed 46.7%. Source opens in a new tab.Rasmussen Reports; released Sep. 24, 2026; Mike Rogers 44%; Abdul El-Sayed 47%. Source opens in a new tab.New York Times / Siena; released Sep. 24, 2026; Mike Rogers 44%; Abdul El-Sayed 49%. Source opens in a new tab.co/efficient; released Sep. 23, 2026; Mike Rogers 45%; Abdul El-Sayed 45%. Source opens in a new tab.Suffolk University; released Sep. 22, 2026; Mike Rogers 39.6%; Abdul El-Sayed 46.8%. Source opens in a new tab.InsiderAdvantage; released Sep. 18, 2026; Mike Rogers 44.7%; Abdul El-Sayed 46.6%. Source opens in a new tab.Washington Post / Schar School; released Sep. 17, 2026; Mike Rogers 45%; Abdul El-Sayed 48%. Source opens in a new tab.Emerson College Polling; released Sep. 17, 2026; Mike Rogers 46%; Abdul El-Sayed 48%. Source opens in a new tab.Trafalgar Group; released Sep. 10, 2026; Mike Rogers 44.8%; Abdul El-Sayed 46.3%. Source opens in a new tab.CNN / SSRS; released Sep. 9, 2026; Mike Rogers 44%; Abdul El-Sayed 47%. Source opens in a new tab.Glengariff Group; released Sep. 8, 2026; Mike Rogers 45.8%; Abdul El-Sayed 44.4%. Source opens in a new tab.Michigan State / YouGov; released Sep. 1, 2026; Mike Rogers 45%; Abdul El-Sayed 50%. Source opens in a new tab.EPIC-MRA; released Aug. 29, 2026; Mike Rogers 43%; Abdul El-Sayed 47%. Source opens in a new tab.Fabrizio Ward / Impact Research; released Aug. 20, 2026; Mike Rogers 47%; Abdul El-Sayed 48%. Source opens in a new tab.TIPP Insights; released Aug. 18, 2026; Mike Rogers 42%; Abdul El-Sayed 45%. Source opens in a new tab.Susquehanna Polling & Research; released Aug. 18, 2026; Mike Rogers 39%; Abdul El-Sayed 46%. Source opens in a new tab.Beacon Research / Shaw & Company; released Aug. 13, 2026; Mike Rogers 51%; Abdul El-Sayed 47%. Source opens in a new tab.
    Scroll horizontally to inspect dates. Exact values follow in the table. 33 records have verified release dates. Points can overlap. Filters apply to the plot and table. Differences between surveys do not by themselves establish changes in voter opinion.

    35 ballot tests in this race

    U.S. Senate · selected 2026 general-election polls · newest verified releases first; undated records follow
    Pollster and sourceFieldworkSampleMike Rogers
    Republican    		Abdul El-Sayed
    Democratic    		Difference
    CNN / SSRSCNN · released Oct. 29Released Oct. 29, 2026
    Methods and source notes

    Registered-voter respondents weighted to the likely electorate. Original CNN reporting and SSRS methodology verified; primary questionnaire PDF was not accessible. Governor figures held pending original topline verification.

    Mode: online and telephone. Population: LV-weighted. Sponsor: CNN.

    Record checked 2026-10-29. verified original release with disclosed source limits

    		Oct. 20–27768 RV · LV-weighted · ±4.742%49%D +7
    Mitchell ResearchMichigan television stations · publicized Oct. 28Released Oct. 28, 2026
    Methods and source notes

    Full-field ballot. Cover and repeated page headers specify October 26–27; final methodology paragraph says October 1, an internal date inconsistency disclosed in the atlas. Public release date corroborated by October 28 commissioner reporting.

    Mode: online panel (121) and text-to-web (515). Population: LV. Sponsor: Michigan television stations. Undecided: 3. Other: 2.

    Record checked 2026-10-29. verified original release with disclosed source limits

    		Oct. 26–27636 LV · ±3.944%51%D +7
    Glengariff GroupWDIV / Detroit News · includes leaners · released Oct. 27Released Oct. 27, 2026
    Methods and source notes

    Commissioned by WDIV and The Detroit News. Live-operator telephone interviews: 15% landline, 85% cellphone. Named two-candidate ballot with leaner follow-up; reported 95% confidence margin ±4.0 points. Rounded shares may not sum to 100.

    Mode: live telephone. Population: LV. Sponsor: WDIV / The Detroit News. Ballot version: named two-candidate ballot including leaners. Undecided: 3.6.

    Record checked 2026-10-27. verified original release or memo

    		Oct. 19–22600 LV · ±4.045.1%51.4%D +6.3
    Michigan State / YouGovMSU State of the State Survey · includes leaners · released Oct. 26Released Oct. 26, 2026
    Methods and source notes

    Online matched and weighted adult panel; 836 likely voters within 1,000 adults. Likely means almost certain, very likely, or already voted. Displays likely-voter results including leaners; initial likely-voter responses are retained separately in this record, not counted as an additional poll. Reported weighting-adjusted uncertainty ±4.4 for likely voters (±4.1 for all adults).

    Mode: online matched and weighted panel. Population: LV. Sponsor: Michigan State University IPPSR. Ballot version: including leaners.

    Record checked 2026-10-27. verified original release or memo

    		Oct. 2–19836 LV / 1,000 adults · ±4.4 LV45.5%48%D +2.5
    InsiderAdvantagePollster release · released Oct. 23Released Oct. 23, 2026
    Methods and source notes

    Release reports mixed text/panel collection and weighting by age, race, gender and political affiliation. Outside sponsor and full ballot response options not stated. Detailed tabs not verified; publisher directs readers to its X account because of a website tabulation-posting problem.

    Mode: mixed text/panel. Population: LV. Sponsor status: outside_sponsor_not_disclosed.

    Record checked 2026-10-25. verified primary release

    		Oct. 21–221,200 LV · ±2.83 reported46%47%D +1
    MaristUniversity-funded · LV results · released Oct. 21Released Oct. 21, 2026
    Methods and source notes

    Marist University funds the poll. Registered-voter study uses live phone, text and online modes. A likely-voter probability weight is applied to registered respondents; 1,185 is the registered-voter study base, not a separately recruited likely-voter sample. Displayed likely-voter initial ballot includes another-party, undecided and volunteered nonresponse options. The ±4.3 points is the publisher-reported LV uncertainty.

    Mode: live phone/text/online. Population: LV. Sponsor: Marist University. Ballot version: initial likely-voter ballot.

    Record checked 2026-10-25. verified primary release

    		Oct. 15–18LV-weighted · 1,185 RV study · ±4.348%50%D +2
    On Point PollingSelf-sponsored · initial ballot · released Oct. 19Released Oct. 19, 2026
    Methods and source notes

    Public release and linked toplines/methodology checked. Study of 586 registered voters online; likely-voter-weighted results, with a 586 unweighted base in both tables. Crosstabs explicitly identify On Point Polling sponsorship, not paid for by a candidate or committee. Use as-asked multi-candidate results, not the separately published modeled allocation of undecided voters. Displayed shares retain release precision; margins are calculated from those shares. Reported weighting-adjusted ±5.2 points is attributed to the pollster, not certification of probability sampling.

    Mode: online panel. Population: LV. Sponsor: On Point Polling; not paid for by a candidate or committee. Ballot version: initial multi-candidate ballot without modeled undecided allocation.

    Record checked 2026-10-25. verified primary release

    		Oct. 18LV-weighted · 586 RV study · ±5.2 reported42.8%48.7%D +5.9
    Rasmussen ReportsSelf-funded · multi-candidate ballot · released Oct. 16Released Oct. 16, 2026
    Methods and source notes

    Primary release and archive confirm October 16 publication. Telephone/online survey; Pulse Opinion Research fieldwork. Release describes Rasmussen self-funding. Ballot includes additional-party candidates and undecided responses. Reported ±3 points at 95% confidence.

    Mode: telephone/online. Population: LV. Sponsor: Rasmussen Reports. Ballot version: multi-candidate ballot.

    Record checked 2026-10-25. verified primary release

    		Oct. 12–14798 LV · ±3.044%46%D +2
    InsiderAdvantagePollster release · released Oct. 11Released Oct. 11, 2026
    Methods and source notes

    Primary release gives sample, fieldwork, toplines and weighting for age, race, gender and political affiliation. Collection mode, outside sponsor and full response options are not stated in the release; detailed tabs were not reviewed.

    Population: LV.

    Record checked 2026-10-15. verified primary release

    		Oct. 9–101,200 LV · ±2.83 reported46%48%D +2
    Quantus InsightsMulti-candidate · initial ballot · released Oct. 7Released Oct. 7, 2026
    Methods and source notes

    Q1 initial ballot, without leaners. Ballot base 744 after excluding 18 nonvoters. The ±3.9 design-adjusted MOE applies to the full 762 study; it is not presented as the ballot-base MOE. See methodology.

    Population: LV.

    Record checked 2026-10-08. verified primary report

    		Oct. 5–6744 LV ballot base / 762 study · ±3.9 full study46.5%47.6%D +1.1
    YouGovPreference follow-up included · released Oct. 6Released Oct. 6, 2026
    Methods and source notes

    Read the linked original release for the full questionnaire, sampling and weighting details. Qualifications in the sample and source labels remain part of this record.

    Population: LV.

    Record checked 2026-10-08. verified primary report

    		Sept. 22–Oct. 43,949 LV · ±2.548%49%D +1
    Mitchell Research & CommunicationsMichigan TV stations · multi-candidate · released Oct. 5Released Oct. 5, 2026
    Methods and source notes

    Read the linked original release for the full questionnaire, sampling and weighting details. Qualifications in the sample and source labels remain part of this record.

    Population: LV.

    Record checked 2026-10-08. verified primary report

    		Oct. 1682 LV · ±3.841.4%45.6%D +4.2
    Trafalgar GroupMulti-candidate ballot · released Oct. 1Released Oct. 1, 2026
    Methods and source notes

    Read the linked original release for the full questionnaire, sampling and weighting details. Qualifications in the sample and source labels remain part of this record.

    Record checked 2026-10-02. verified primary report

    		Sept. 28–301,085 LV · ±2.945.1%46.9%D +1.8
    Marist PollReleased Sept. 30Released Sep. 30, 2026
    Methods and source notes

    Read the linked original release for the full questionnaire, sampling and weighting details. Qualifications in the sample and source labels remain part of this record.

    Record checked 2026-10-02. verified primary report

    		Sept. 24–271,235 RV · ±3.844%51%D +7
    Beacon Research / Shaw & CompanyFox News · released Sept. 30Released Sep. 30, 2026
    Methods and source notes

    Read the linked original release for the full questionnaire, sampling and weighting details. Qualifications in the sample and source labels remain part of this record.

    Record checked 2026-10-02. verified primary report

    		Sept. 24–281,028 LV · ±3.049%50%D +1
    Cygnal / Beacon ResearchMichigan Enjoyer · multi-candidate · released Sept. 29Released Sep. 29, 2026
    Methods and source notes

    Read the linked original release for the full questionnaire, sampling and weighting details. Qualifications in the sample and source labels remain part of this record. Publisher’s full question report, Q2 Senate/Q1 governor. Topline totals used; rounded definitely/probably subcategories are not re-added.

    Record checked 2026-10-02. verified primary report

    		Sept. 18–21600 LV · ±4.040%45%D +5
    Big Data PollPublic Polling Project · includes leaners · released Sept. 25Released Sep. 25, 2026
    Methods and source notes

    Read the linked original release for the full questionnaire, sampling and weighting details. Qualifications in the sample and source labels remain part of this record. Crowdfunded, not campaign/committee funded. Uses LV with leaners; initial LV ballot 40.5 R/45.9 D is not double-counted. Release Sept. 25, updated Sept. 27.

    Record checked 2026-10-02. verified primary report

    		Sept. 22–24678 LV · ±4.042.1%46.7%D +4.6
    Rasmussen ReportsMulti-candidate ballot · released Sept. 24Released Sep. 24, 2026
    Methods and source notes

    Read the linked original release for the full questionnaire, sampling and weighting details. Qualifications in the sample and source labels remain part of this record.

    Record checked 2026-10-02. verified primary report

    		Sept. 221,099 LV · ±3.044%47%D +3
    New York Times / SienaReleased Sept. 24 · see methodology noteReleased Sep. 24, 2026
    Methods and source notes

    Read the linked original release for the full questionnaire, sampling and weighting details. Qualifications in the sample and source labels remain part of this record. Siena’s own release verifies shares and likely-voter population. Its linked NYT methodology was not retrievable; no attempt was made to bypass the browser’s site restriction. Secondary indexes report Sept. 15–22 and n=605, but those fields are not asserted as primary-verified in this table. This is a known metadata gap.

    Record checked 2026-10-02. shares and population verified methodology pending

    		Not in linked releaseLV · n / MOE unverified44%49%D +5
    co/efficientMulti-candidate ballot · Released Sept. 23Released Sep. 23, 2026
    Methods and source notes

    Read the linked original release for the full questionnaire, sampling and weighting details. Qualifications in the sample and source labels remain part of this record. Independent public Battlegrounds series. Senate Q6 includes other named candidates; separate Q7 is 50–50 head-to-head and is not double-counted. Governor Q2. Text and landline mode.

    Record checked 2026-10-02. verified primary report

    		Sept. 21–23843 LV · ±3.3645%45%Even
    Suffolk UniversityMulti-candidate ballot · released Sept. 22Released Sep. 22, 2026
    Methods and source notes

    Read the linked original release for the full questionnaire, sampling and weighting details. Qualifications in the sample and source labels remain part of this record. Statewide sample, Q9 Senate/Q11 governor, includes leaners; not the separate 300-voter Eaton County sample. Additional second-choice questions are not added.

    Record checked 2026-10-02. verified primary report

    		Sept. 16–20500 LV · ±4.439.6%46.8%D +7.2
    InsiderAdvantageMulti-candidate ballot · released Sept. 18Released Sep. 18, 2026
    Methods and source notes

    Read the linked original release for the full questionnaire, sampling and weighting details. Qualifications in the sample and source labels remain part of this record. Read original topline image: https://insideradvantage.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/09/7761-1.jpg . Exact displayed decimals retained. Several secondary reports round to 45/47 or give a different end date/MOE; the original image controls.

    Record checked 2026-10-02. verified primary report

    		Sept. 16–171,200 LV · ±2.8344.7%46.6%D +1.9
    Washington Post / Schar SchoolReleased Sept. 17Released Sep. 17, 2026
    Methods and source notes

    Read the linked original release for the full questionnaire, sampling and weighting details. Qualifications in the sample and source labels remain part of this record. Two named nominees, includes leaners. Q2 Senate and Q4 governor; Braun Research interviews.

    Record checked 2026-10-02. verified primary report

    		Sept. 10–14803 LV · ±3.945%48%D +3
    Emerson College PollingNexstar · released Sept. 17Released Sep. 17, 2026
    Methods and source notes

    Read the linked original release for the full questionnaire, sampling and weighting details. Qualifications in the sample and source labels remain part of this record.

    Record checked 2026-10-02. verified primary report

    		Sept. 12–141,000 LV · ±3.0 CI46%48%D +2
    Trafalgar GroupMulti-candidate ballot · Sept. 10Released Sep. 10, 2026
    Methods and source notes

    Read the linked original release for the full questionnaire, sampling and weighting details. Qualifications in the sample and source labels remain part of this record.

    Record checked 2026-10-02. verified primary report

    		Sept. 7–91,079 LV · ±2.944.8%46.3%D +1.5
    CNN / SSRSCNN · released Sept. 9Released Sep. 9, 2026
    Methods and source notes

    Read the linked original release for the full questionnaire, sampling and weighting details. Qualifications in the sample and source labels remain part of this record. 843 registered respondents; results weighted to likelihood of voting. The linked report describes a probability-based likely electorate, not an independently screened 843-person LV subsample.

    Record checked 2026-10-02. verified primary report

    		Aug. 31–Sept. 6843 LV · ±4.144%47%D +3
    Glengariff GroupDetroit News / WDIV · released Sept. 8Released Sep. 8, 2026
    Methods and source notes

    Read the linked original release for the full questionnaire, sampling and weighting details. Qualifications in the sample and source labels remain part of this record.

    Record checked 2026-10-02. verified primary report

    		Aug. 31–Sept. 3600 LV · ±4.045.8%44.4%R +1.4
    Michigan State / YouGovState of the State Survey · released Sept. 1Released Sep. 1, 2026
    Methods and source notes

    Read the linked original release for the full questionnaire, sampling and weighting details. Qualifications in the sample and source labels remain part of this record.

    Record checked 2026-10-02. verified primary report

    		Aug. 10–20779 LV · MOE not stated45%50%D +5
    EPIC-MRAPublic frequency report · Aug. 29Released Aug. 29, 2026
    Methods and source notes

    Read the linked original release for the full questionnaire, sampling and weighting details. Qualifications in the sample and source labels remain part of this record.

    Record checked 2026-10-02. verified primary report

    		Aug. 22–28600 LV · ±4.043%47%D +4
    Fabrizio Ward / Impact ResearchAARP · released Aug. 20Released Aug. 20, 2026
    Methods and source notes

    Read the linked original release for the full questionnaire, sampling and weighting details. Qualifications in the sample and source labels remain part of this record.

    Record checked 2026-10-02. verified primary report

    		Aug. 9–11877 LV · ±3.347%48%D +1
    TIPP InsightsLeague of American Workers · released Aug. 18Released Aug. 18, 2026
    Methods and source notes

    Read the linked original release for the full questionnaire, sampling and weighting details. Qualifications in the sample and source labels remain part of this record. Shares follow the source workbook’s 0% display format, not additional decimal places from hidden cell values. E4-LV and E5-LV; sample is the unweighted n. Credibility interval from release methodology.

    Record checked 2026-10-02. verified primary report

    		Aug. 6–101,215 LV · ±2.7 CI42%45%D +3
    Susquehanna Polling & ResearchPollster release · Aug. 18Released Aug. 18, 2026
    Methods and source notes

    Read the linked original release for the full questionnaire, sampling and weighting details. Qualifications in the sample and source labels remain part of this record.

    Record checked 2026-10-02. verified primary report

    		Aug. 11–17800 LV · ±3.4639%46%D +7
    Beacon Research / Shaw & CompanyFox News · released Aug. 13Released Aug. 13, 2026
    Methods and source notes

    Read the linked original release for the full questionnaire, sampling and weighting details. Qualifications in the sample and source labels remain part of this record.

    Record checked 2026-10-02. verified primary report

    		Aug. 6–101,006 RV · ±3.051%47%R +4
    Wedgewood PollsSelf-funded · two-candidate report · release date unverifiedRelease date unverified · table only
    Methods and source notes

    Five-page report read in public Drive viewer. Online panel; registration and likelihood screening; raking for gender, age, race and education to voter-file and census benchmarks. Report states independent Wedgewood funding. Two candidate toplines total 100; no undecided or other response options documented. Reported margin of error is attributed, not validation of a probability sample. Public release date not established from primary source; row is excluded from date-positioned chart.

    Population: LV. Source access status: public Drive link returned 404; historical result preserved from prior source review. Source access checked: 2026-10-27.

    Record checked 2026-10-15. verified primary report release date unverified

    		Oct. 8–9607 LV · ±4.0 reported47%53%D +6
    Guidant Polling & StrategyPublic First Action (reported sponsor) · memo dated Oct. 6Release date unverified · table only
    Methods and source notes

    Original memo verifies fieldwork, sample, results, questionnaire and reported 95% confidence uncertainty. Majority cellphone with additional text-to-web and landline interviews. Senate uses the full-field ballot, not its separate 49–45 two-candidate test; governor asks two named candidates. The memo is dated October 6 but does not establish public release date. Ballotpedia identifies Public First Action as commissioner; the organization identifies itself as a 501(c)(4), distinct from its linked PACs. Sponsor is not named in the memo. Excluded from the release-date chart until primary publication timing is verified.

    Mode: cellphone, text-to-web and landline. Population: LV. Sponsor: Public First Action, attributed to Ballotpedia. Ballot version: full field.

    Record checked 2026-10-27. verified original release or memo

    		Sept. 20–27800 LV · ±3.46 reported43%48%D +5

    Governor: John James and Jocelyn Benson

    The comparison names the Republican and Democratic candidates. The official directory includes every active ballot candidate. Survey response options can differ.

    Latest verified release in this selectionGlengariff GroupOct. 27, 2026
    Fieldwork: Oct. 19–22
    Read the source ↗
    44.5%
    John James
    Republican
    51.4%
    Jocelyn Benson
    Democratic

    CNN’s October 29 governor figures are not included: the original questionnaire/topline document was inaccessible during this review. This selection’s latest verified governor release is October 27.

    Reported difference · percentage points · release dates

    Reported difference by release dateOne point per published result: Democratic share minus Republican share. No average or trend line. Exact values and source notes appear in the table.R +10EvenD +10D +20Aug. 1Sept. 1Oct. 1Oct. 29Glengariff Group; released Oct. 27, 2026; John James 44.5%; Jocelyn Benson 51.4%. Source opens in a new tab.Michigan State / YouGov; released Oct. 26, 2026; John James 40.9%; Jocelyn Benson 53.3%. Source opens in a new tab.Marist; released Oct. 21, 2026; John James 45%; Jocelyn Benson 51%. Source opens in a new tab.On Point Polling; released Oct. 19, 2026; John James 39%; Jocelyn Benson 50.8%. Source opens in a new tab.YouGov; released Oct. 6, 2026; John James 45%; Jocelyn Benson 48%. Source opens in a new tab.Mitchell Research & Communications; released Oct. 6, 2026; John James 39%; Jocelyn Benson 46%. Source opens in a new tab.Marist Poll; released Sep. 30, 2026; John James 41%; Jocelyn Benson 53%. Source opens in a new tab.Beacon Research / Shaw & Company; released Sep. 30, 2026; John James 45%; Jocelyn Benson 54%. Source opens in a new tab.Cygnal / Beacon Research; released Sep. 29, 2026; John James 38%; Jocelyn Benson 45%. Source opens in a new tab.New York Times / Siena; released Sep. 25, 2026; John James 43%; Jocelyn Benson 48%. Source opens in a new tab.co/efficient; released Sep. 23, 2026; John James 44%; Jocelyn Benson 47%. Source opens in a new tab.Suffolk University; released Sep. 22, 2026; John James 34.4%; Jocelyn Benson 50.6%. Source opens in a new tab.Washington Post / Schar School; released Sep. 17, 2026; John James 41%; Jocelyn Benson 53%. Source opens in a new tab.Emerson College Polling; released Sep. 17, 2026; John James 42%; Jocelyn Benson 49%. Source opens in a new tab.CNN / SSRS; released Sep. 9, 2026; John James 41%; Jocelyn Benson 50%. Source opens in a new tab.Glengariff Group; released Sep. 8, 2026; John James 42.7%; Jocelyn Benson 46.8%. Source opens in a new tab.Michigan State / YouGov; released Sep. 1, 2026; John James 43%; Jocelyn Benson 52%. Source opens in a new tab.EPIC-MRA; released Aug. 29, 2026; John James 41%; Jocelyn Benson 45%. Source opens in a new tab.Fabrizio Ward / Impact Research; released Aug. 20, 2026; John James 44%; Jocelyn Benson 49%. Source opens in a new tab.TIPP Insights; released Aug. 18, 2026; John James 37%; Jocelyn Benson 53%. Source opens in a new tab.Beacon Research / Shaw & Company; released Aug. 13, 2026; John James 47%; Jocelyn Benson 52%. Source opens in a new tab.
    Scroll horizontally to inspect dates. Exact values follow in the table. 21 records have verified release dates. Points can overlap. Filters apply to the plot and table. Differences between surveys do not by themselves establish changes in voter opinion.

    23 ballot tests in this race

    Governor · selected 2026 general-election polls · newest verified releases first; undated records follow
    Pollster and sourceFieldworkSampleJohn James
    Republican    		Jocelyn Benson
    Democratic    		Difference
    Glengariff GroupWDIV / Detroit News · includes leaners · released Oct. 27Released Oct. 27, 2026
    Methods and source notes

    Commissioned by WDIV and The Detroit News. Live-operator telephone interviews: 15% landline, 85% cellphone. Named two-candidate ballot with leaner follow-up; reported 95% confidence margin ±4.0 points. Rounded shares may not sum to 100.

    Mode: live telephone. Population: LV. Sponsor: WDIV / The Detroit News. Ballot version: named two-candidate ballot including leaners. Undecided: 4.0.

    Record checked 2026-10-27. verified original release or memo

    		Oct. 19–22600 LV · ±4.044.5%51.4%D +6.9
    Michigan State / YouGovMSU State of the State Survey · includes leaners · released Oct. 26Released Oct. 26, 2026
    Methods and source notes

    Online matched and weighted adult panel; 836 likely voters within 1,000 adults. Likely means almost certain, very likely, or already voted. Displays likely-voter results including leaners; initial likely-voter responses are retained separately in this record, not counted as an additional poll. Reported weighting-adjusted uncertainty ±4.4 for likely voters (±4.1 for all adults).

    Mode: online matched and weighted panel. Population: LV. Sponsor: Michigan State University IPPSR. Ballot version: including leaners.

    Record checked 2026-10-27. verified original release or memo

    		Oct. 2–19836 LV / 1,000 adults · ±4.4 LV40.9%53.3%D +12.4
    MaristUniversity-funded · LV results · released Oct. 21Released Oct. 21, 2026
    Methods and source notes

    Marist University funds the poll. Registered-voter study uses live phone, text and online modes. A likely-voter probability weight is applied to registered respondents; 1,185 is the registered-voter study base, not a separately recruited likely-voter sample. Displayed likely-voter initial ballot includes another-party, undecided and volunteered nonresponse options. The ±4.3 points is the publisher-reported LV uncertainty.

    Mode: live phone/text/online. Population: LV. Sponsor: Marist University. Ballot version: initial likely-voter ballot.

    Record checked 2026-10-25. verified primary release

    		Oct. 15–18LV-weighted · 1,185 RV study · ±4.345%51%D +6
    On Point PollingSelf-sponsored · initial ballot · released Oct. 19Released Oct. 19, 2026
    Methods and source notes

    Public release and linked toplines/methodology checked. Study of 586 registered voters online; likely-voter-weighted results, with a 586 unweighted base in both tables. Crosstabs explicitly identify On Point Polling sponsorship, not paid for by a candidate or committee. Use as-asked multi-candidate results, not the separately published modeled allocation of undecided voters. Displayed shares retain release precision; margins are calculated from those shares. Reported weighting-adjusted ±5.2 points is attributed to the pollster, not certification of probability sampling.

    Mode: online panel. Population: LV. Sponsor: On Point Polling; not paid for by a candidate or committee. Ballot version: initial multi-candidate ballot without modeled undecided allocation.

    Record checked 2026-10-25. verified primary release

    		Oct. 18LV-weighted · 586 RV study · ±5.2 reported39%50.8%D +11.8
    YouGovReleased Oct. 6Released Oct. 6, 2026
    Methods and source notes

    Read the linked original release for the full questionnaire, sampling and weighting details. Qualifications in the sample and source labels remain part of this record.

    Population: LV.

    Record checked 2026-10-08. verified primary report

    		Sept. 22–Oct. 43,949 LV · ±2.545%48%D +3
    Mitchell Research & CommunicationsMichigan TV stations · multi-candidate · released Oct. 6Released Oct. 6, 2026
    Methods and source notes

    Read the linked original release for the full questionnaire, sampling and weighting details. Qualifications in the sample and source labels remain part of this record.

    Population: LV.

    Record checked 2026-10-08. verified primary report

    		Oct. 1682 LV · ±3.839%46%D +7
    Marist PollReleased Sept. 30Released Sep. 30, 2026
    Methods and source notes

    Read the linked original release for the full questionnaire, sampling and weighting details. Qualifications in the sample and source labels remain part of this record.

    Record checked 2026-10-02. verified primary report

    		Sept. 24–271,235 RV · ±3.841%53%D +12
    Beacon Research / Shaw & CompanyFox News · released Sept. 30Released Sep. 30, 2026
    Methods and source notes

    Read the linked original release for the full questionnaire, sampling and weighting details. Qualifications in the sample and source labels remain part of this record.

    Record checked 2026-10-02. verified primary report

    		Sept. 24–281,028 LV · ±3.045%54%D +9
    Cygnal / Beacon ResearchMichigan Enjoyer · multi-candidate · released Sept. 29Released Sep. 29, 2026
    Methods and source notes

    Read the linked original release for the full questionnaire, sampling and weighting details. Qualifications in the sample and source labels remain part of this record. Publisher’s full question report, Q2 Senate/Q1 governor. Topline totals used; rounded definitely/probably subcategories are not re-added.

    Record checked 2026-10-02. verified primary report

    		Sept. 18–21600 LV · ±4.038%45%D +7
    New York Times / SienaReleased Sept. 25 · see methodology noteReleased Sep. 25, 2026
    Methods and source notes

    Read the linked original release for the full questionnaire, sampling and weighting details. Qualifications in the sample and source labels remain part of this record. Siena’s own release verifies shares and likely-voter population. Its linked NYT methodology was not retrievable; no attempt was made to bypass the browser’s site restriction. Secondary indexes report Sept. 15–22 and n=605, but those fields are not asserted as primary-verified in this table. This is a known metadata gap.

    Record checked 2026-10-02. shares and population verified methodology pending

    		Not in linked releaseLV · n / MOE unverified43%48%D +5
    co/efficientReleased Sept. 23Released Sep. 23, 2026
    Methods and source notes

    Read the linked original release for the full questionnaire, sampling and weighting details. Qualifications in the sample and source labels remain part of this record. Independent public Battlegrounds series. Senate Q6 includes other named candidates; separate Q7 is 50–50 head-to-head and is not double-counted. Governor Q2. Text and landline mode.

    Record checked 2026-10-02. verified primary report

    		Sept. 21–23843 LV · ±3.3644%47%D +3
    Suffolk UniversityMulti-candidate ballot · released Sept. 22Released Sep. 22, 2026
    Methods and source notes

    Read the linked original release for the full questionnaire, sampling and weighting details. Qualifications in the sample and source labels remain part of this record. Statewide sample, Q9 Senate/Q11 governor, includes leaners; not the separate 300-voter Eaton County sample. Additional second-choice questions are not added.

    Record checked 2026-10-02. verified primary report

    		Sept. 16–20500 LV · ±4.434.4%50.6%D +16.2
    Washington Post / Schar SchoolReleased Sept. 17Released Sep. 17, 2026
    Methods and source notes

    Read the linked original release for the full questionnaire, sampling and weighting details. Qualifications in the sample and source labels remain part of this record. Two named nominees, includes leaners. Q2 Senate and Q4 governor; Braun Research interviews.

    Record checked 2026-10-02. verified primary report

    		Sept. 10–14803 LV · ±3.941%53%D +12
    Emerson College PollingNexstar · released Sept. 17Released Sep. 17, 2026
    Methods and source notes

    Read the linked original release for the full questionnaire, sampling and weighting details. Qualifications in the sample and source labels remain part of this record.

    Record checked 2026-10-02. verified primary report

    		Sept. 12–141,000 LV · ±3.0 CI42%49%D +7
    CNN / SSRSCNN · released Sept. 9Released Sep. 9, 2026
    Methods and source notes

    Read the linked original release for the full questionnaire, sampling and weighting details. Qualifications in the sample and source labels remain part of this record. 843 registered respondents; results weighted to likelihood of voting. The linked report describes a probability-based likely electorate, not an independently screened 843-person LV subsample.

    Record checked 2026-10-02. verified primary report

    		Aug. 31–Sept. 6843 LV · ±4.141%50%D +9
    Glengariff GroupDetroit News / WDIV · released Sept. 8Released Sep. 8, 2026
    Methods and source notes

    Read the linked original release for the full questionnaire, sampling and weighting details. Qualifications in the sample and source labels remain part of this record.

    Record checked 2026-10-02. verified primary report

    		Aug. 31–Sept. 3600 LV · ±4.042.7%46.8%D +4.1
    Michigan State / YouGovState of the State Survey · released Sept. 1Released Sep. 1, 2026
    Methods and source notes

    Read the linked original release for the full questionnaire, sampling and weighting details. Qualifications in the sample and source labels remain part of this record.

    Record checked 2026-10-02. verified primary report

    		Aug. 10–20779 LV · MOE not stated43%52%D +9
    EPIC-MRAPublic frequency report · Aug. 29Released Aug. 29, 2026
    Methods and source notes

    Read the linked original release for the full questionnaire, sampling and weighting details. Qualifications in the sample and source labels remain part of this record.

    Record checked 2026-10-02. verified primary report

    		Aug. 22–28600 LV · ±4.041%45%D +4
    Fabrizio Ward / Impact ResearchAARP · released Aug. 20Released Aug. 20, 2026
    Methods and source notes

    Read the linked original release for the full questionnaire, sampling and weighting details. Qualifications in the sample and source labels remain part of this record.

    Record checked 2026-10-02. verified primary report

    		Aug. 9–11877 LV · ±3.344%49%D +5
    TIPP InsightsLeague of American Workers · released Aug. 18Released Aug. 18, 2026
    Methods and source notes

    Read the linked original release for the full questionnaire, sampling and weighting details. Qualifications in the sample and source labels remain part of this record. Shares follow the source workbook’s 0% display format, not additional decimal places from hidden cell values. E4-LV and E5-LV; sample is the unweighted n. Credibility interval from release methodology.

    Record checked 2026-10-02. verified primary report

    		Aug. 6–101,215 LV · ±2.7 CI37%53%D +16
    Beacon Research / Shaw & CompanyFox News · released Aug. 13Released Aug. 13, 2026
    Methods and source notes

    Read the linked original release for the full questionnaire, sampling and weighting details. Qualifications in the sample and source labels remain part of this record.

    Record checked 2026-10-02. verified primary report

    		Aug. 6–101,006 RV · ±3.047%52%D +5
    Wedgewood PollsSelf-funded · two-candidate report · release date unverifiedRelease date unverified · table only
    Methods and source notes

    Five-page report read in public Drive viewer. Online panel; registration and likelihood screening; raking for gender, age, race and education to voter-file and census benchmarks. Report states independent Wedgewood funding. Two candidate toplines total 100; no undecided or other response options documented. Reported margin of error is attributed, not validation of a probability sample. Public release date not established from primary source; row is excluded from date-positioned chart.

    Population: LV. Source access status: public Drive link returned 404; historical result preserved from prior source review. Source access checked: 2026-10-27.

    Record checked 2026-10-15. verified primary report release date unverified

    		Oct. 8–9607 LV · ±4.0 reported45%55%D +10
    Guidant Polling & StrategyPublic First Action (reported sponsor) · memo dated Oct. 6Release date unverified · table only
    Methods and source notes

    Original memo verifies fieldwork, sample, results, questionnaire and reported 95% confidence uncertainty. Majority cellphone with additional text-to-web and landline interviews. Senate uses the full-field ballot, not its separate 49–45 two-candidate test; governor asks two named candidates. The memo is dated October 6 but does not establish public release date. Ballotpedia identifies Public First Action as commissioner; the organization identifies itself as a 501(c)(4), distinct from its linked PACs. Sponsor is not named in the memo. Excluded from the release-date chart until primary publication timing is verified.

    Mode: cellphone, text-to-web and landline. Population: LV. Sponsor: Public First Action, attributed to Ballotpedia. Ballot version: two named candidates.

    Record checked 2026-10-27. verified original release or memo

    		Sept. 20–27800 LV · ±3.46 reported45%50%D +5

    Secretary of state: Anthony Forlini and Garlin Gilchrist II

    The comparison names the Republican and Democratic candidates. The official directory includes every active ballot candidate. Survey response options can differ.

    Latest verified release in this selectionGlengariff / WDIV–Detroit NewsOct. 28, 2026
    Fieldwork: Oct. 19–22
    Read the source ↗
    39.2%
    Anthony Forlini
    Republican
    50.6%
    Garlin Gilchrist II
    Democratic

    The October Glengariff findings for all four offices come from one 600-person survey. They are separate questions, not independent samples.

    Reported difference · percentage points · release dates

    Reported difference by release dateOne point per published result: Democratic share minus Republican share. No average or trend line. Exact values and source notes appear in the table.R +10EvenD +10D +20Aug. 1Sept. 1Oct. 1Oct. 29Glengariff / WDIV–Detroit News; released Oct. 28, 2026; Anthony Forlini 39.2%; Garlin Gilchrist II 50.6%. Source opens in a new tab.Mitchell / CBS Detroit; released Oct. 7, 2026; Anthony Forlini 36%; Garlin Gilchrist II 41%. Source opens in a new tab.Cygnal / Beacon · Michigan Enjoyer; released Sep. 29, 2026; Anthony Forlini 38%; Garlin Gilchrist II 41%. Source opens in a new tab.Glengariff · WDIV / Detroit News; released Sep. 9, 2026; Anthony Forlini 35.9%; Garlin Gilchrist II 42.4%. Source opens in a new tab.
    Scroll horizontally to inspect dates. Exact values follow in the table. 4 records have verified release dates. Points can overlap. Filters apply to the plot and table. Differences between surveys do not by themselves establish changes in voter opinion.

    4 ballot tests in this race

    Secretary of state · selected 2026 general-election polls · newest verified releases first; undated records follow
    Pollster and sourceFieldworkSampleAnthony Forlini
    Republican    		Garlin Gilchrist II
    Democratic    		Difference
    Glengariff / WDIV–Detroit NewsWDIV / Detroit News · released Oct. 28Released Oct. 28, 2026
    Methods and source notes

    Named two-candidate question. Live telephone: 15% landline, 85% cellphone. Same sample as the October 27 governor and Senate releases, not an additional independent survey.

    Undecided or refused: 10.2.

    Record checked 2026-10-29. verified original commissioner release

    		Oct. 19–22600 LV · ±4.039.2%50.6%D +11.4
    Mitchell / CBS DetroitReleased Oct. 7, 2026
    Methods and source notes

    Online panel and text-to-web; figures from commissioner, methodology independently corroborated by Mitchell’s October 1 study report.

    Record checked 2026-10-27. commissioner release verified

    		Oct. 1682 LV · ±3.836%41%D +5
    Cygnal / Beacon · Michigan EnjoyerReleased Sep. 29, 2026
    Methods and source notes

    Commissioner’s full results and methodology; named two-candidate questions with undecided option.

    Undecided: 20.

    Record checked 2026-10-27. commissioner release verified

    		Sept. 18–21600 LV · ±4.038%41%D +3
    Glengariff · WDIV / Detroit NewsReleased Sep. 9, 2026
    Methods and source notes

    Live telephone, 15% landline and 85% cellphone; named two-candidate question. Release date is September 9 despite September 8 URL path.

    Undecided: 21.6.

    Record checked 2026-10-27. commissioner release verified

    		Aug. 31–Sept. 3600 LV · ±4.035.9%42.4%D +6.5

    Attorney general: Doug Lloyd and Eli Savit

    The comparison names the Republican and Democratic candidates. The official directory includes every active ballot candidate. Survey response options can differ.

    Latest verified release in this selectionGlengariff / WDIV–Detroit NewsOct. 28, 2026
    Fieldwork: Oct. 19–22
    Read the source ↗
    40.1%
    Doug Lloyd
    Republican
    45%
    Eli Savit
    Democratic

    The October Glengariff findings for all four offices come from one 600-person survey. They are separate questions, not independent samples.

    Reported difference · percentage points · release dates

    Reported difference by release dateOne point per published result: Democratic share minus Republican share. No average or trend line. Exact values and source notes appear in the table.R +10EvenD +10D +20Aug. 1Sept. 1Oct. 1Oct. 29Glengariff / WDIV–Detroit News; released Oct. 28, 2026; Doug Lloyd 40.1%; Eli Savit 45%. Source opens in a new tab.Mitchell / CBS Detroit; released Oct. 7, 2026; Doug Lloyd 36%; Eli Savit 36%. Source opens in a new tab.Cygnal / Beacon · Michigan Enjoyer; released Sep. 29, 2026; Doug Lloyd 37%; Eli Savit 39%. Source opens in a new tab.Glengariff · WDIV / Detroit News; released Sep. 9, 2026; Doug Lloyd 35%; Eli Savit 36.3%. Source opens in a new tab.
    Scroll horizontally to inspect dates. Exact values follow in the table. 4 records have verified release dates. Points can overlap. Filters apply to the plot and table. Differences between surveys do not by themselves establish changes in voter opinion.

    4 ballot tests in this race

    Attorney general · selected 2026 general-election polls · newest verified releases first; undated records follow
    Pollster and sourceFieldworkSampleDoug Lloyd
    Republican    		Eli Savit
    Democratic    		Difference
    Glengariff / WDIV–Detroit NewsWDIV / Detroit News · released Oct. 28Released Oct. 28, 2026
    Methods and source notes

    Named two-candidate question. Live telephone: 15% landline, 85% cellphone. Same sample as the October 27 governor and Senate releases, not an additional independent survey.

    Undecided or refused: 14.9.

    Record checked 2026-10-29. verified original commissioner release

    		Oct. 19–22600 LV · ±4.040.1%45%D +4.9
    Mitchell / CBS DetroitReleased Oct. 7, 2026
    Methods and source notes

    Online panel and text-to-web; figures from commissioner, methodology independently corroborated by Mitchell’s October 1 study report.

    Record checked 2026-10-27. commissioner release verified

    		Oct. 1682 LV · ±3.836%36%Even
    Cygnal / Beacon · Michigan EnjoyerReleased Sep. 29, 2026
    Methods and source notes

    Commissioner’s full results and methodology; named two-candidate questions with undecided option.

    Undecided: 24.

    Record checked 2026-10-27. commissioner release verified

    		Sept. 18–21600 LV · ±4.037%39%D +2
    Glengariff · WDIV / Detroit NewsReleased Sep. 9, 2026
    Methods and source notes

    Live telephone, 15% landline and 85% cellphone; named two-candidate question. Release date is September 9 despite September 8 URL path.

    Undecided: 28.8.

    Record checked 2026-10-27. commissioner release verified

    		Aug. 31–Sept. 3600 LV · ±4.035%36.3%D +1.3

    Reading the evidence

    Compare fieldwork and methods before interpreting a difference.

    Field dates show when people answered.

    A release can appear days after interviews end. The plot uses release dates; each table row also shows fieldwork.

    Samples and response options differ.

    Likely-voter models, registered-voter bases, modes, named candidates and leaner questions affect comparability. Read the source notes.

    Reported uncertainty is not a forecast.

    Sampling error is one source of uncertainty. Turnout assumptions, nonresponse and wording also matter. The displayed difference is subtraction, not a probability of winning.

    Candidate-choice surveys can already include crossover voters. Endorsements and interviews do not establish an additional polling adjustment. Read the reported distinction between primary crossover and November defections.

    Sources and inclusion rules

    This page uses the atlas’s selected, sourced ballot-test ledger. Older entries retain their own verification dates. New records require an original release or commissioning organization’s report and an explicit verification status. Missing details stay missing.

    Guidant and Wedgewood have unresolved release dates; their four records remain table-only. Mitchell’s October Senate report has conflicting field-date language, disclosed in its row. Previously identified source limitations and separately qualified supplemental findings remain available in the atlas.

    Percentages are displayed as published. Rounding and unshown answers can prevent a row from totaling 100%. “Difference” is the displayed Democratic share minus Republican share, labeled by the candidate with the higher value. Read the atlas’s polling context and supplemental material.

    Related reporting

    Latest reportingTwo new Michigan Senate polls put Rogers seven points behind El-Sayed. →Compare the new releases and their fieldwork.Election referenceThe complete Michigan election atlas →Candidates, proposals, voting and original sources.
    Michigan Republican Primary · Explore the complete 2026 election atlas · Newsletter signup